Wednesday, April 6, 2016

My Take On The U.S. Republican Presidential Nomination Race



Tory Newmyer, Fortune: Cruz's Wisconsin Win Could Put Nomination Out of Trump's Reach

Trump now faces a steep climb to clinching the nomination before the convention.

For once, Ted Cruz and the Washington professional class he claims to loathe agree on something: The Texas Senator’s win in Wisconsin represents a watershed moment in the Republican presidential sweepstakes.

The candidate’s convincing Badger State victory — he romped over frontrunner Donald Trump statewide by roughly 15 points — raises the likelihood that the contest will tumble all the way into the national convention in Cleveland.

That spells terrible news for Trump, whose recent run of wild statements on both foreign and domestic policy have helped rally Republican opposition to his candidacy and increased the urgency for party leaders to block his nomination.

Read more ....

WNU Editor: The 2016 delegate count and primary results for the Republican race is here. As predicted .... this race is going to be resolved in a brokered convention. Donald Trump is going to be short by about a hundred delegates, and he will have trouble going over the line unless he makes a deal. Ideally .... in such a race the front runner should make an accommodation with the person in second place .... Reagan making Bush his Vice President in 1980 comes to my mind. Will this happen in this race .... or will Donald Trump make a deal for Kasich or Rubio delegates .... we shall see. But I do know one thing .... if such a deal does not happen and someone besides Trump or Cruz is chosen, the Republican party will be severely bruised and hurting going into the Presidential race.

2 comments:

Bob Huntley said...

Yes the ideal situation. Trump as President with Cruz as the VP ready to take the reins if trump is unable to carry out his Presidential duties.

Anonymous said...

Let's look at the numbers:

There are 769 republican delegates up for grabs in the remaining states. Trump needs 494 (only 40%!) of those delegates to reach the 'magic number' 1,237 to presumably secure the nomination, and he is a heavy favorite in the upcoming state of NY, where 93 delegates will be divided proportionally.

Out of the 1,574 delegates already counted for, Trump has won 48% of those, while Cruz has only won only 33%, and Kasich accounts for only 1% of those delegates.

Trump is still the likely winner.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/republican_delegate_count.html