Institute For the Study Of War: Russia and Turkey Escalate: Russia’s Threat to NATO Goes Beyond Eastern Europe
Key Takeaway: Russia is waging a multi-front campaign against Turkey in order to weaken NATO in line with its strategic objectives. The use of a high-end Soviet-era MANPADS against a Turkish helicopter in southeastern Turkey on May 13, 2016 could indicate that Russia is providing meaningful military support to the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) insurgency. The incident, if indeed a Russian escalation, is yet another Russian infringement of a sovereign NATO partner. Russia targeted the same pressure point by overflying Turkey with combat aircraft in November 2015, leading Turkish President Recep Erdogan to authorize the shoot down of a Russian plane. The U.S. rushed to de-escalate rather than backing Turkey in November, a signal that Erdogan does not have unequivocal NATO support. The provision of military support to the PKK thus offers Russia a surgical option to escalate against Turkey without provoking a response from the U.S. and NATO, especially because U.S. strategy against ISIS relies upon the Syrian Kurdish YPG, which has strong links to the PKK. It is a dangerous possibility that Russia will cultivate its relationship with the PKK in ways that undermine the U.S. and Turkey, even if the recent MANPADS event does not represent this inflection.
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WNU Editor: There is a lot of info in this report. The problem is that Turkey has been an unreliable ally .... threatening Europe with conditions and then flooding Europe with refugees, waging war against the Kurds, supporting rebel groups in Syria and then shipping them arms and God only knows what else .... and even President Obama has given up on the Erdogan administration. Yup .... Turkey has positioned themselves badly .... and it would not surprise me if Russia is now taking advantage of this to put pressure on the Erdogan government.
3 comments:
What a load of bs.
If Russia was providing even minor "hybrid" support to the PPK, south east Turkey would be burning,
And only an idiot would conclude that the Russian incursions into Turkey, were anything but accidental.
Ergodan has "fucked up". He backed the Turkomen, imported Chechens and Ugiher's, backed and armed ISIS and al Quida, in the hopes that Assad would fall, Syria would be broken up, and Turkey could seize Ildib Province and add it to Turkey.
He pushed a million refugee's into the EU to try to force them into backing his play in Syria and to force economic and trade concessions from them.
He corrupted himself, his family, the Army and the MIT by crawling in bed with ISIS smuggling operations and their slave trade.
He picked a fight with the "moderate" Kurds by attacking their political parties and rallies with ISIS proxies, and has used the excuse of "fighting terrorism" to wage war on all Turkish Kurds and the Syrian YPG as well.
His attacks on Turkish lawmakers, journalists, judges are gutting Turkish Democracy.
One hardly ever see examples of kharma working in real time,
But of course, the "blame Putin" crowd will invent a new reality in which Ergodan is not reaping the consequences of his own idiot actions, but instead, it's the work of "little green men" under Ergodan's bed in the dark of night.
Ridiculously one sided. I stopped following Institute For the Study Of War's site a while back.
All you need to know about the so called " Institute for the Study of War"
" At Yale, Kagan met her husband Frederick Kagan, who is an American resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute (AEI),[6] son of Donald Kagan, a well-known historian and brother of Robert Kagan, another well-known writer and publicist. Robert Kagan's wife is Victoria Nuland, Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs."
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kimberly_Kagan
It's an incestuous inbred Neo-Con think tanks/grift.
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