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The Guardian: US believed it would 'undoubtedly win' war with North Korea in 1994 – but with huge casualties
Declassified document predicted massive losses for US and South
Pyongyang has since made dramatic strides in nuclear and missile technology
Declassified documents published on Friday show that the United States believed its military and South Korea’s forces would “undoubtedly win” a conflict on the divided Korean peninsula, during a 1994 standoff over Pyongyang’s nuclear ambitions.
But long before North Korea had developed nuclear weapons, the Pentagon estimated that some 490,000 South Korean service members and 52,000 US personnel would be killed or wounded in the first three months of any conflict.
The assessment does not mention North Korean and civilian casualties, but analysts say losses would be enormous.
Today, with North Korea almost able to directly threaten the US mainland with nuclear strikes, the possibility of conflict looms as it did in 1994.
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WNU Editor: This is why there was no war in 1994 .... the Pentagon estimated that some 490,000 South Korean service members and 52,000 US personnel would be killed or wounded in the first three months of any conflict..
2 comments:
Other studies show that the north can not conduct war beyond 3 weeks as they do not have the logistic capability.
As for the casualties,do you not recall the 25000 1st week predictions in gulf war 1?
Yes, it was also just only 3 years after the first Iraq war.
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