Tuesday, March 20, 2018

Japan's Defense Planners Are Focused On China Not North Korea

A Japan Self-Defense Forces (JSDF) soldier takes part in a drill to mobilise their Patriot Advanced Capability-3 (PAC-3) missile unit in response to a recent missile launch by North Korea, at U.S. Air Force Yokota Air Base in Fussa on the outskirts of Tokyo, Japan August 29, 2017. REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo

Reuters: China, not North Korea, to dominate Japan military planning

TOKYO (Reuters) - North Korea’s growing missile arsenal might be the most obvious and immediate military threat facing Japan, but defence planners in Tokyo are focused on a much larger and more challenging foe as they prepare for the years ahead.

China has stepped up military spending and already dominates the South China Sea, through which Japan’s trade with major markets including Europe and the Middle East flows.

Now, Japanese military experts are worried Beijing may be on the brink of opening access to the Pacific through a Japanese island chain that has marked the limit of China’s military influence for decades.

Tokyo sees unfettered passage for Chinese warships and warplanes through the Okinawan island chain as a threat to vital sea lanes. For China that access is part and parcel of becoming a global superpower.

Read more ....

WNU Editor: The sentence that caught my eye when I read the above report was this one ....

.... If Japan is able to hunker down long enough, he explained, the threat from China should recede as future internal strife, economic woes or other events prompt a retreat.

So Japan's defense planners are of the opinion that with time economic/social/and political woes will force China to retreat from its military expansion. Hmmmm .... I call that a lot of wishful thinking.

6 comments:

Anonymous said...

Wnu,
" I call that a lot of wishful thinking."
Yes. The internal problems are something to plan on, but the pay off is very far off, so yes wishful thinking.

B.Poster said...

Wishful thinking in deed. Countries like China and Russia appear well positioned for the mid to long term. As for a country who is likely to be facing economic, social, and political woes, that would be America. These will eventually force America off of the so called stage as a major world power and that's the best possible outcome right now for America.

Bob Huntley said...

The US sneezes and Canada catches a cold.

Anonymous said...

BP
not in your lifetime
sorry to spoil your wishful thinking

Anonymous said...

Waiting for the immanent collapse of China... So Gordon Chang is their chief military advisor?

Unknown said...

Yep, BP is right, Japan needs a pragmatic foreign policy and prepare for the day that the US is irrelevant in the FE theater. The US has yet to learn the lesson of all before it, that you can't ultimately prevail when you (try to) deploy next to a far larger rival. Actually the US is fast becoming irrelevant around the world as foreign leaders begin to ignore the increasingly erratic and non-sensical Trump.