Opposition supporters clash with riot police during a rally against President Nicolas Maduro in Caracas, Venezuela, May 3, 2017. REUTERS/Christian Veron
Michael Carvelli, RCD/The Bridge: How a Venezuelan Collapse Could Draw in the United States
It appears Venezuela is heading towards a political and economic collapse. President Nicolas Maduro’s United Socialist Party lost its majority in the National Assembly during the 2015 parliamentary election. In March of this year, Venezuela’s Supreme Court announced that it was taking over the powers of the opposition-controlled National Assembly. Maduro’s party is continuing to consolidate its domestic power. Meanwhile, the country is running out of food, hospitals are overcrowded, and electricity is not guaranteed. The results of this political and economic turmoil could plausibly create a destabilizing situation in the Western Hemisphere.
The history of Venezuela’s recent turn to turmoil is not a short tale. President Hugo Chavez’s election in 1999 marked the beginning of deep changes in the country’s ideology. His ideology, and that of his successor, President Maduro, have shifted the country’s government towards socialism, further fracturing the domestic balance of power. As perhaps the most unstable government in South America a collapse of the Venezuelan government, and the resulting uncertainty could draw the U.S. and its competitors into the crisis. The U.S. would face a complex situation if a collapse materializes.
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WNU Editor: The last thing that anyone wants to do is to send soldiers into Venezuela. When you break it you own it, and any intervention of Venezuela will not only break what little remains that functions properly .... but it will also guarantee a long term presence and the expenditure of tens of billions in aid. Unfortunately .... Venezuela is rapidly approaching that status of a failed state, and if the exodus of Venezuelans continue to grow, all bets are off. My prediction .... and it is based on what I personally experienced in the former Soviet Union before it collapsed .... is that it will take another 2 years (or more) before the people who run and manage the country say enough is enough. And when that day happens is when someone like President Nicolas Maduro will either send in the tanks and hope that most of them obey his orders, or he flees the country. My money is on him fleeing the country.
10 comments:
"The last thing that anyone wants to do is to send soldiers into Venezuela. When you break it you own it" - WNU
There is the Obama exception.
He broke Libya ans said "Mess? What Mess?"
More broadly put anytime the Democrat party nominates and gets elected a certified 'identity politics' candidate, they cannot be criticized and they can break countries and leave.
Next one up to bat is Kamala Harris. She is a two-fer. She is not LGBT, but Democrats cannot have everything in a candidate.
On a more serious note (The last comment was serious as a heart attack), America should not send troops to Venezuela, if for no other reason than it gives communists, Democrats, an excuse as to why socialist experiment 18.0 failed.
Plus of Bernie runs again om 2020, he can be asked about how he would fix the socialist experiment. He will look like a fish.
You have become an utter bore
Was Bush who went into Iraq a Democrat too? Why does not Trump leave Syria..a secret Dem?
time to act like a grown up
Bush did not break Iraq and leave.
You should know this. You probably had way too much fun and got drunk saying "Occupation!"
Big difference between Iraq and Libya. In Iraq they are holding elections. In Libya not so much. I would not expect a dyed-in-the-wool Democrat to be able to discern such a large difference.
Trump has not targeted the Baathist regime in Damascus for destruction. If so desired, Assad, the eye doctor, would be gone tomorrow. That is not the U.S. goal in Syria. It might have been Odumba's goal but it is not Trump's goal.
Syria is not yet a failed state. It might be close, but it won't happen.
With Russian, Iranian, Iraqi, and Hezbollah backing, Syria will not be a failed state. It will remain a despotic one.
Again massmedia want to sell the fake news of the fall of Venezuela.
The situation was worse two years ago, but is not happened.
With an opposition who has found street violence, and today call for more international sanctions against his own country.
Henry Falcòn and other opposition leaders who are not so irresponsible have the freedom of speech and movement they want.
It doesn't matter where Falcon goes if the government puts some tails on him. Not really the same thing as freedom.
https://www.cfr.org/report/venezuelan-refugee-crisis
"As a result of government-led mismanagement and corruption, the currency value is plummeting, prices are hyperinflated, and gross domestic product (GDP) has fallen by over a third in the last five years. "
"Surveys report that nearly nine in ten Venezuelans have difficulty purchasing food; relatedly, three out of four Venezuelans have lost weight, an average of nineteen pounds just in 2017"
"Years of intervention, nationalization, and expropriation have decimated local agriculture. The vast majority of food now comes from abroad, and distribution is firmly in the hands of the Maduro-aligned military. In addition to providing the food sold in price-controlled supermarkets and restaurants, the military directly distributes basic products to nearly six million families, roughly 70 percent of the population, through local provision and production committees (CLAPs)."
So for three quarters of the people in Venezuela to have lost weight that means that around 2/3rds of the of the people getting food from the government (CLAPS) are losing weight.
"In 2007, Movimiento V República (MVR, "Fifth Republic Movement"), of which Falcón was a member, was transformed into the United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV). On 21 February 2010 Governor Falcón gave a letter to President Hugo Chávez"
It appears that Falcon is a man of principle and not a liar.
The US Is Definitely "Meddling" In The Venezuelan Election
The US Is Definitely "Meddling" In The Venezuelan Election
That is a funny article. It is by consortium news. Most of the time 'Durden", the son of a Bulgarian Secret Service officer, will put his name to things.
Not this time. He'll report it, but he does not want to take credit for it.
So putting sanction on Venezuela is evil.
So was putting sanction on Japan in 1940 evil?
How about South Africa?
Skipping form sanction to money, China loaned them a ton of money. Obviously , Venezuela had a ton of money which they proceeded to piss way or steal from government coffers.
"Venezuelan 'daughters of Chavismo' exposed living lavishly overseas"
- Dinner in Paris
- Surfing Bondi Beach
Indeed.
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