The Guardian: Turkish forces will cross into Kurdish-held Syria – foreign minister
Despite suggestions of a delay in military campaign, Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu insists soldiers will enter
Turkey’s foreign minister has reiterated that Turkish forces are determined to cross the Euphrates river into Kurdish-held territory in Syria as soon as possible, despite previous suggestions from both Washington and Ankara that Turkey would delay the proposed military campaign.
Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu told reporters at a briefing on Tuesday that “if Turkey says it will enter, it will”. While the foreign minister did not give a time frame, Turkey’s president, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, said last week that Turkey would stall its offensive as part of coordination with the US over the planned withdrawal of US forces from the area.
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WNU Editor: Everyone is getting ready for the U.S. to leave .... Regional Players Prepare for Imminent US Pullout from Syria (VOA).
More News On Turkey's Growing Role In Syria
Turkey ‘determined’ to drive out Syrian Kurdish forces -- AP
Turkey Amasses Troops, Tanks on Syria Border as It Plans to Take Over ISIS Fight -- The Wall Street Journal
Turkey says the US just agreed to more of its demands as Ankara sees expanded power in Syria -- CNBC
Turkey-backed fighters prepare to replace US forces in Syria -- ABC News/AP
Turkey and US to coordinate Syria withdrawal and avoid vacuum -- Al Jazeera
Assad regime forces enter YPG-held village west of Syria's Manbij -- Daily Sabah
Turkey warns France against supporting Kurd militia -- AFP
Doubts over Turkey ability to 'eradicate' IS after US pull-out -- AFP
Lavrov: Syrian regime okay with Turkey's presence in Idlib -- Daily Sabah
Turkey's Erdogan, Russia's Putin to meet over U.S. pullout from Syria, Erdogan says -- Reuters
Trump's plan to hand war against Isis to Turkey is fraught with risks -- Borzou Daragahi, The Independent
3 comments:
The withdraw of America is not a gift for Turkey, Russia, Syria and Iran as everybody like to say.
Erdogan has huge ambitions ans when he will be in the north of Syria, it will want to stay and create a conflict between all of them: Syria want to have its territory back, Iran supporting it and Turkey which is a NATO member. Russia will hesitate to be hard with Turkey for many reason.
I feel it will be hot.
The Guardian report is at best misleading. It takes without question that the decision to withdraw was done on a whim during a phone call with Erdogan essentially accepting the claim of Trump's critics at face value without even bothering to ask any questions or even do a cursory investigation. Conveniently ignored or forgotten is the fact that White House officials strenuously deny this account. Also, ignored is the reporting suggesting that the planning for this withdrawal is nothing new, has been in the works for months, and is being and has been carefully coordinated with Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Jordan, Israel, and Russia.
Why don't they take the time to "find out?" Are they lazy, is it confirmation bias, something more sinister, or some combination of all of these? I think it's some combination depending upon who is doing the reporting.
As we do not have access to the transcripts and the raw data, we cannot "know" with 100% certainty. We can evaluate the information we do have and evaluate the character and track record of those making various claims and try and reach a conclusion.
The media doesn't have a stellar track record and this article sloppily doesn't even consider anything else but the predetermined narrative.
Furthermore we have to consider the track record of Trump in this analysis. He tends to think aloud. When we "brainstorm" all ideas are considered in the initial phase no matter how silly. In later phases we narrow it down If we think out loud, we will say some outlandish things and some tbjngs we probably shouldn't say as POTUS has been known to do. When it comes to act, throughout his business career POTUS has been slow and methodical. In his trade as a real estate developer and business person rash thinking will lead to catastrophic failure. As such, for him to have made such a decision on a whim based upon a single phone call on a whim, would be a complete departure from his character.
While anything is possible, to believe the single phone call narrative is to believe in pink unicorns. While we could find a pink unicorn, it is very unlikely. As such, I conclude with 99.999% probability that the White House narrative of the single phone call narrative is correct and that the reports about the planning involved are correct.
The Guardian article doesn't tell us which "Kurdish held areas." It would help if they specified.
If they mean traditional Kurdish areas in Northern Syria, the Kurds will likely have the backing of Saudi and UAE forces and US air support if needed . With our help Kurdish held areas have expanded. If the article refers to these areas, it may be a problem for the Kurds. As such, as some analysis have suggested the Kurds will relocate to their traditional areas. I strongly ssuspect the areas the article refers to are the expanded Kurdish holdings but they leave this out. Perhaps the commission is in error.
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