From The Cutting Edge:
James Holmes, National Interest: The U.S.-Iran Naval War of 2019: What It Could Look Like
Would Iran close the Strait of Hormuz, could it, and would the United States reply by force of arms if Tehran made the attempt?
Maybe, maybe, and yes. There is precedent: it assailed merchant and naval shipping during the “Tanker War” of the 1980s. Then, it was attacking the export earnings of its archfoe Iraq. The United States, the mullahs’ Great Satan, isn’t nearly so dependent as was Saddam Hussein’s Iraq on merchantmen plying the Persian Gulf. Washington nonetheless sees important interests at stake in this contested waterway—and that gives Tehran an opportunity to inflict pain should it choose.
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WNU Editor: The Iranians have the home advantage. That means a lot in any conflict.
6 comments:
The drones will have a field day.
Silly article that really didn't say anything. It talked about attack aircraft and coastal batteries like they some cloaked klingon nemisis, did General Salami on rye write this?
Yes they will playing on a home field with the advantages, but it also means they can't lose.
JH
The moullahs have backing of what 30- 40% among the population(?) and I'd guess a more loyal army than Iraq's Hussein had, who ruled by fear more than ideology. This is not the same ball game and Iraq was already a mess. But if lessons were learnt, air force will devastate major land air and sea capabilities and no occupation force will be deployed. That would be suicide. Don't forget Iranians are educated, very smart and caused much of the IED casualties. The metal inversion shaped explosive penetrators were their little contribution. If you read boots on the ground it means trouble. Better to protect canals with a decent perimeter and try to stay clear of the rest. Get an iron dome for the canal or reroute. In the long run it might be cheaper :-)))
I doubt anyone is contemplating a ground war, that would be nuts. I wouldn't be surprised if seals are or have already done recon I remember during the Falklands war SAS units, were camped alongside Argentinian airbases gathering Intel.
Yeah I wouldn't be surprised either.
And if they'd bomb Republicans instead of Moulahs, CNN would camp outside in a TV van down the street. Just like they did "coincidentally" @ Roger Stone
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