Richard Fernandez, PJ Media: Out Tricky Peace
The Trump administration's willingness to take on Iran, China and Russia -- in the economic and diplomatic sphere at least -- raises the question of whether even low-intensity conflict can eventually lead to a crisis. The apparent abolition of war in our globalized world has been replaced by what Austin Bay called in his book Cocktails from Hell "a hazardous form of peace". The danger is that such conflicts may boil over. The first flashpoint may be Iran.
Iran’s Revolutionary Guard shot down a U.S. drone Thursday amid heightened tensions between Tehran and Washington over the collapsing nuclear deal with world powers ...
Lt. Gen. Joseph Guastella, commander of U.S. Air Forces Central Command, told reporters at the Pentagon that Iranian reports that the drone was shot down over Iran “are categorically false.” He said the drone was flying in international airspace over the Strait of Hormuz and Gulf of Oman near the area of the recent tanker attacks when it was shot down. He claimed the Guard fired a surface-to-air missile at the drone from a location near Goruk, Iran.
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WNU Editor: Richard Fernandez is correct in his assessment that Iran is slowly being strangled in the low-intensity conflict with the U.S.. With oil exports now at around 400,000 barrels per day (bpd), the Iranian government's main source of income has dried up. They can't win unless they try something new. But the problem for Iran is that their options are limited, and time is against them. Closing oil traffic will hurt U.S. allies in Asia, but it will have devastating consequences on our rival, China. Will Iran be willing to risk their friendship with China .... their number one customer? As I said, Iran's options are limited, and provoking a war with the U.S. will not earn them any friends.
5 comments:
Iran is on the wrong path, they need to play fair in the world and stop calling for Israel's destruction. Since this is not likely, only a revolution can prevent a larger war
Wnu your analysis is flawed
China wants Trump gone by 2020. They cannot afford a second term under him. This much is obvious. Their economy is close to imploding. Capital fleeing like rats flee a sinking ship. And they must - under any circumstances - keep pumping money into their market to avoid the housing bubble. It will be a massive cataclysmic implosion that will devastate not only their market but also will cause Xi to be removed - for corruption or health reasons.
Xi knows this Iran is his best bet so far. If he can pay them - or someone else - to ignite the already bad situation and cause a war between Iran and the US - obviously cnn/msnbc/our parrot will jump on this to again try to get rid of Trump
The irony is that under Trump the world order shifts dramatically - I've never witnessed anything like it - in favour of the US almost guaranteeing a continued dominance far into this century.
Stop Trump and you will see a continued rise of China and the cnn people. with their mobs and social justice warriors who have no idea what and who China is. They go after Trump because it's easy and feels good. Oh those fools
Legions of useful idiots
Yeah and just look at where CNNs advertising dollars predominately came from between 2015-2018.
China
But the parrot keeps digging. Just a few more years please he goes. .the evidence is there. ..somewhere. Adam Shit told me. Lol what an embarrassment this guy is.
dope
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