Simon Waldman, CAPX: Why Iran is risking war with Saudi Arabia and America
* Shia Iran and Sunni Saudi Arabia have engaged in a proxy conflict for years
* Trump’s Iran policy of maximum pressure is working
* Iran's belligerent moves are an attempt to gain leverage in advance of any renegotiation of the Iran nuclear deal
Although the Iranian-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen claimed responsibility for last week’s attack on Saudi Arabia’s Abqaiq oil processing plant, the audacious operation looks like the handiwork of the Islamic Republic of Iran. It is even emerging that the drones or cruise missiles were fired directly from Iranian soil.
Stirrings of war are on the horizon. President Donald Trump warned that a US response is “locked and loaded” and the Saudi King and Crown Prince are not best pleased.
For years, Shia Iran and Sunni Saudi Arabia have engaged in a proxy conflict. Currently, the regional rivals support different sides in the civil wars in Syria and Yemen. But why would Iran instigate a direct attack against Saudi Arabia and risk conflict not only with Riyadh, but possibly the United States as well? The attack seems especially irrational considering the timing. Just days earlier there was credible talk about a potential meeting between Trump and his Iranian counterpart Hassan Rouhani at the United Nations. Meanwhile, Trump fired his hawkish national security advisor John Bolton, indicating a willingness to ease some sanctions.
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WNU Editor: The official Iranian FARS News agency has answered the question on why Iran is willing to risk a war with the U.S. and Saudi Arabia .... "Iran brought down Jimmy Carter & will bring down @realDonaldTrump
5 comments:
We do not have the desire to retaliate. Iranians know this, know how to push our buttons and how to push to the edge. Also they understand that SA does not have the will or the know how to take them on.. Consequently, they along with their Russian and Chinese advisors gamed us because we have a insecure wimp as President.
Your idiots if you think Iran did this. How would Iran benefit from any of this? Especially under sanctions. Aside from showcasing Iranian manufactured missiles, they showed 0 proof it was launched from Iran. With that logic, we might as well say that the UK and USA are killing yemenis because they provided missiles to Saudi Arabia to bomb innocent people.
Well, if the missiles were launched from Iran, maybe that makes them involved!?
I am reading a lot of nonsense about this attack. I do believe Iran is asking for a fight and knows the US does not want to get involved in yet another foreign endeavor. So, it pushes SA and wants to start a fight. I support a response that hurts but nothing much more.
I find it hard to believe that there is not evidence in the form of radar images etc., showing the "missiles" or whatever, in flight, going from Iran to hit the Saudi oil refineries as they would have had to travel through an area under close observation by the US military with all of its observation capabilities. Without that hard evidence this is sounding more like the lead-up to Iraq II.
Having said that, I am sure there will be a multitude of excuses as to why that incriminating evidence is not available which would lead to the question, if Iran is able to launch such a mission without it being caught on "camera" so to speak, does anyone actually want to attack a country able to launch such attacks when observing and defending against such attacks is not possible?
Iran is not Iraq after all and at this point may well react as a trapped rat would but with much more aggressive capabilities. After all, the attack on the oil facility does appear to have been a better example of attack capabilities than say, a bunch of missiles sent, from time to time, only to fall into the vacant fields around Israel by whoever.
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