Thursday, November 28, 2019

Polls In The U.K. Still Predicting A Majority Government For Boris Johnson



Business Insider: Boris Johnson's Conservatives are heading for a huge victory over Labour, according to the polling model which correctly forecast Theresa May would lose her majority

* Boris Johnson is on course for a big majority in the general election, according to the polling model that accurately predicted the outcome of the 2017 election.
* The Conservatives would win 359 seats, Labour 211, the SNP 43, and the Lib Dems 13, YouGov's MRP model suggested.
* The result would give Johnson a majority of 68 as he made big gains at Labour's expense, particularly in the Midlands and north of England.
* However, only a relatively modest swing in the other direction would trigger another hung parliament.

Boris Johnson's Conservatives are set for a crushing general election win over Labour on December 12, according to the polling model which accurately predicted the outcome of the 2017 vote.

The YouGov data, which tracks the responses of tens of thousands of people, said the Tories could win a 68-seat majority in parliament if the election were held tomorrow.

Labour is on track for 211 seats, it predicted, losing 44 constituencies to the Conservatives, including the seat of Tom Watson, the outgoing deputy leader.

Read more ....

Update #1: Boris Johnson Set for 68-Seat Majority According to YouGov Poll (Bloomberg)
Update #2: UK's Conservatives set for biggest win since 1987: YouGov model (Reuters)

WNU Editor: I like the YouGov polling model because it uses a large sample size, and it has a history of understanding voters intentions. As to what is my prediction. Even though I am an outsider, my gut tells me that almost everyone voter in the U.K. has alrady made up their mind, and Boris Johnson is going to have a huge majority after December 12 with a clear mandate for Brexit.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Not surprising having watched Andrew Neil destroy Corbyn, in the BBC interview this week.

Everyone voting should watch this

https://m.facebook.com/conservatives/videos/1022243018135007/&ved=2ahUKEwings_zwY_mAhVHRBUIHfBwBKsQo7QBMAJ6BAgAEAY&usg=AOvVaw22wJY_kSyPT0FdXGGbdRx0