A laboratory worker in China. Photo: Xinhua
Jeff Pao, Asia Times: How lethal is the Wuhan virus?
No worse than a ‘bad cold’ say some experts, but others fear it could kill 14,000 people in Hong Kong alone
Pathologists, microbiologists and public health experts from the University of Hong Kong have expressed different views about the lethality of the Wuhan coronavirus in a bid to help governments shape their strategies against the epidemic.
Based on different scientific evidence and viewpoints, some said the mortality or fatality rate, which indicates the lethality of the Wuhan coronavirus could be as low as 0.6% and that it may go down further if more minor cases are recorded.
Others said even if the mortality rate was between 1-2%, compared with 7% of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), the Wuhan virus could kill tens of thousands of people due to it being highly contagious.
Read more ....
Update: Is China hiding how bad the coronavirus is? (James Adams, Spectator)
WNU Editor: Here is a worst case analysis on what is happening in China right now .... 50,000 New Coronavirus Infections Per Day in China (Mish Talk).
21 comments:
Once it spread outside China for a few weeks or 2 months we can gather our own statistics about transmissibility and death rate. We won't be beholden to the PRC for information. Learning the values both of those factors is made harder since we jump on any cases or potential cases there are with the best medical care.
Point is since the virus has spread beyond China we can come up with independent calculations for R naught (R0).
IMO there a so many viruses and variants although a large, but finite number of combinations (more like the concept of a sink in engineering), there cannot be a solution, where you vaccinate for everything. You are going to have to use administrative (social controls) to combat this. Administrative controls can be internal like customs (better) or coercive/legal (the low bar). I have thought this for several years particularly in regards to AIDS. They always want the holy grail of a vaccine so that they can do anything without consequence.
Vaccines have the same problem as designing tanks. You cannot (engineer) equally armor all sides of a tank, so they do not. Part of what makes a tank awesome is not armor but doctrine (administrative if you will. It makes up for the fact you cannot armor everything to your heart's content.
Tencent App May Have Leaked Real Figures Of Coronavirus In China; 400 Million Locked Down In Cities
The WHO map is looking scary for China.
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
Think of all those illegals in NYC. How many from Wuhan?
In mere days they could spread out 500 miles from NYC and the city itself could double as a set from TWD with De Blasio as "The Governor".
China's Coronavirus Response Shows How "Medicare-for-All" Would Work
anons here post two super dumb comments
china does not have medicare for all
how many illegals in ny from Wuhan? go there and count them, ass
the stuff is now in many nations and in places with strict rules for visiting
"In Iowa, 5 mosques hosted caucuses as “satellite sites” meant as “safe spaces” for Muslims. Muslims in Iowa don’t need a safe space. No one is going to be assaulting them at Democrat caucuses. But holding these satellite caucuses in mosques gives Islamic organizations spaces under their control.
The first site of the Iowa satellite caucus was the Muslim Community Organization, also known as Masjid An-Noor, where there was widespread support for Bernie Sanders.
Imam Jaaphar Abdul Hamed of the mosque endorsed Bernie Sanders and welcomed Rep. Ilhan Omar, an Islamist and anti-Semitic Sanders backer. And 99% of the mosque caucus, caucused for Bernie Sanders."
Stupid Democrats will vote anything that has a (D) behind it be it Caligula's Horse, Hitler, or the village idiot.
China does have "Medicare-for-All". A simple wiki search would have found it.
Super dumb comments by Anon 10:30 AM. I think she got out of bed 4 hours too early.
How many illegals from Wuhan?
Liberals prefer not to count. If it became public and accepted knowledge something would have to be done. They do not want to do anything.
Instead liberals count and mislabel or conflate. Wuhan being the 6th largest city in China there are bound to be some in in NYC working illegally for slave wages so libs can have cheap food. That is the hoi poloi libs that can't afford illegal Mexican gardeners or maids.
There are so many illegals form China that it is a movie trope.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Safe_(2012_film)
Well at least you average Chinese illegal is 3 times as smart as your average libtard.
Illegals in NY : Trump will build a wall
In short, it means everyone can get the medical services they need, without going bankrupt. America has not achieved this, for very complex reasons. China is also far from reaching this goal, as we’ll describe in this story.
Muslims in mosques etc etc but gop in churches ok; Jews in synagogues ok etc
I've been in a synagogue and no one wanted to jump e or kill me. Can't say the same for a mosque.
I've been to the Western Wall and the Jews treated me civilly after I covered my head with a small cap. Never did get to the Temple in Mount; that might have been a death wish.
Has Parrot has been to the Western wall.
as we’ll describe in this story.
No story was linked or discussed
Typical foaming at the mouth parrot.
Is *** licking next by Crazy White Liberals?
"Portland Police RETREAT From Protest Line After Antifa Thugs Throw Bottles, Eggs and Projectiles at Officers "
Portland has not fallen but the decision is very much ion doubt.
Crazy white lefties got on their knees and kissed the boots of Black Israelite Radicals in Washington DC.
This was after the radical black organizers commanded them to kiss their boots.
"you should be on your knees, that was a command" - BLACK ISRAELITE
*white guy gets on his knees immediately* - Typical White liberal
Antifa protesters throw concrete at police and vandalize a war memorial with 'Kill Cops' in spray paint in Portland in demonstration against a planned KKK rally
Welcome to a Liberal City
"We, the intelligentsia, the people who could make it into this room, we believe a lot of things in terms of equality and protecting individual rights that make no sense to the vast bulk of people." - Mike Doomberg
What a freaking joke!
the anti-parrot moron asks if I have been to the Western Wall
yes. and more times than you will ever go there
and my son served in elite outfit, IDF
Casing the place does not count.
Anyone, who votes for such an anti-Semitic group like the Democrat Party, which is chock full for anti-Semites, cannot be taken seriously.
Hate to tell you, but I will otherwise you'll be the last to know, but Biden just flamed out maybe on purpose.
"Bizarre moment Joe Biden calls a woman a 'lying, dog-faced pony soldier' at a New Hampshire campaign event "
Basically, you have Pete and that is it.
Many people will not support Bernie or Warren. So there you have it.
(I am sure if your twist the Torah and Talmud into pretzels, a liberal synagogue can justify Pete, gay pride parades with nudity and NAMBLA.
You lie about your service, you lie about your family, what do you not lie about?
It really must be galling for you then to have less class!
#1 Pete was intel. Why is it that people know they want to go into politics before they go in in the military go intel or JAG?
#2) The ideological media/MSM hides gay pride parades. They show you the front of the parade, but not the tail of it. That is lying by omission.
#3) Reform Judaism is just as deformed as liberal churches. The society informs the denomination not the religion forming the morals of the society. They the type of religious institutions that will put a picture of Hitler or Xi in the Church and pushback harder than a RINO on his hands and knees.
#4) Harry Hats passing was met with tributes my 'mainstream' LGBT leaders and groups. 'Mainstream' leaders support 'mainstream' LGBT leaders. Harry Hays supported NAMBLA. So what does that make you?
It is very classy to look up porn every day of your life without fail. What best defines such a person, their profession or their addiction?
I thank God that I am not a liberal, Otherwise, I would be licking boots like a liberal.
Crazy White Liberals Get on Knees and Kiss Boots of Black Israelites …Then Clap Their Hands — WTH? (VIDEO)
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/02/wow-white-liberals-get-on-knees-and-kiss-boots-of-black-israelites/
Liberalism is a mental disorder.
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