Monday, April 6, 2020

U.S. Coronavirus Peak Death Rate Is Expected To Strike The U.S. In 11 Days When 2,644 People Are Projected To Die In 24 Hours





Daily Mail: Coronavirus peak death rate will strike U.S. in 11 days when 2,644 people will die in 24 hours as shocking graphs reveal grim state-by-state breakdown of when hospitals will be overwhelmed and how many will die

* Metrics model shows the US is 10 days from its peak resource use, when 262,092 hospital beds, including 39,727 ICU beds, will be needed
* The University of Washington's Institute for Health warns that the protections for each state assume that social distancing measures are maintained
* It shows New York - the epicenter of the outbreak in the US - will reach its peak in five days with 855 deaths
* The figures for Illinois make for particularly grim reading; COVID-19 deaths there are expected to hit 3,386 by August 4 with the state's peak in 15 days when an estimated 109 people will die in 24 hours

Shocking graphs have revealed the United States is still 11 days away from its coronavirus peak when it is predicted 2,644 people will die in 24 hours across the nation.

The stark new model - created by researchers from the University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics - also shows the country is also 10 days from its peak resource use, when 262,092 hospital beds will be needed.

That is 87,674 less than the number of beds the U.S. has to its disposal, the predictions show. A staggering 39,727 ICU beds will be required; the estimated shortage of these will be 19,863, it adds.

Researchers also warn 100,000 Americans will die by August 4. Previous White House predictions have put the figure between 100,000 and 240,000 deaths in the US if the nation continues on its trajectory and current social distancing guidelines are maintained.

The University of Washington's Institute for Health Metrics's model details a grim state-by-state breakdown of when hospitals will be overwhelmed and how many will die.

Read more ....

WNU Editor: Here are the latest numbers in the past 24 hours .... US reports 363 fewer deaths from coronavirus in 24 hours as toll reaches 9,662: Latest figures show a slight drop in single-day casualties - but experts warn the real number is far higher because of the shortage in testing (Daily Mail).

More News On Projected Estimates That The U.S. Will Be Facing A Peak Death Rate From The Covid-19 Coronavirus Pandemic

US, UK brace for soaring death tolls as pandemic bears down -- AP
Europe's coronavirus numbers offer hope as US enters 'peak of terrible pandemic' -- The Guardian
U.S. faces 'really bad' week as coronavirus deaths spike -- Reuters
Coronavirus: Trump predicts ‘a lot of death’ as cases pass 300,000 -- BBC
Coronavirus: Trump voices hope for ‘levelling-off’ in US hotspots -- BBC
'This is our Pearl Harbor moment': Surgeon General Jerome Adams says coronavirus is defining moment for this generation, claiming this will be 'the hardest and the saddest week of most Americans' lives' as death toll is expected to peak next Thursday -- Daily Mail
US braces for 'Pearl Harbor moment' as coronavirus death toll rises -- France 24
Surgeon General: This week will be like a 'Pearl Harbor' and '9/11' moment -- CNN

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

So, where I live, the 1st person in the metropolitan area (Metropolitan and Micropolitan Statistical Area (MSA)). They were 91, living in a elder care home and had several underlying conditions.

Should I be scared?

What if the guy had hypertension, diabetes, COPD and his doctor expected him not to live to see 2021?

Should I be scared?

What if he had those conditions and tested positive for influenza and COVIDS at the same time?

It begs the question did he die of influenza or COVID?

Should I be scared?

Anonymous said...

God no. Not the disease. Trust yourself.

Anonymous said...


The cheapest yet most predictive test for mortality elderly is the sit stand test.

www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30807554

If a person fails the test, chances are they are going to die with in the year.

If a person fails the test, and they die after testing positive, is that a shock?

Should I be scared?


I think not.