Monday, May 25, 2020

Is Now The Time To Get Ready For A Post Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei Era?

Reuters

Michael Rubin, National Interest: The Jockeying Has Begun for Iran’s Post-Khamenei Leadership

It behooves the United States to plan for post-Khamenei Tehran.

Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei is now eighty-one years old. While his health remains a closely guarded secret, his past medical history, age, and the deaths in recent years of other senior leaders have led Iranians to start considering what a post-Khamenei Islamic Republic might look like.

There are two main contenders to succeed Khamenei: Khamenei’s fifty-one-year-old son, Mojtaba, and Judiciary Chief Ebrahim Raisi. Neither can campaign openly but the nature of the Iranian system is that the Assembly of Experts, the institutional power center which officially promotes the next supreme leader is a rubber-stamp body, and so the informal campaign is more important than the formal.

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WNU Editor: Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei  is eighty-one, and he does have a history of serious health problems. But if his fifty-one-year-old son takes power, it would set a precedent of a family dynasty that I do not think will sit well with most Iranians.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

So Ollie Khamanei has or had prostrate cancer. It is a very slow growing caner. He had a 'routine' operation in 2014. Maybe they took it out, so unless it metastasized beforehand the risk form that cancer is zero. I would not count on prostrate cancer to kill the old goat. Still everyone appears to be saying he is in poor health. Must be all that fake praying and sitting around conniving. Physical inactivity kills.