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Moscow managed to preserve the Syrian regime but it has failed to achieve all its goals in Syria.
On September 30, 2015, the Russian Federation formally entered the Syrian civil war as President Bashar al-Assad’s rule was increasingly under threat.
Since 2011, intense fighting and mass desertion had weakened the Syrian Arab Army. Even the support of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), the deployment of Iranian militias and Russian mercenaries, and regular shipments of Russian weaponry had not been enough to stop the advance of the opposition and radical armed groups.
In March 2015, the Syrian government lost a second provincial capital, Idlib, when Jeish al-Fattah, a loose coalition of various armed groups, led a successful offensive on the city in the country’s northwest.
The provincial capital of Raqqa, with its strategic oil and water resources, had been captured the previous year and had become the main stronghold of the rising Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL).
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WNU Editor: Aside from a naval and air base in a country that is now nothing more but a failed state. Nothing.
3 comments:
They've learned what to upgrade on the T90 to defeat tows
What Fazman said.
Also, they have upgraded their tactics and other systems also.
It is not much risk at all but it still has a Darwinian pressure on the Russian military keeping it healthy/keeping not competent.
Syria was going to be a failed state with or without Russia. It is not Russia's fault. Maybe you can make an argument that if Russia had not been an allay that Assad might have been more accommodating and there might have been a political solution to the demonstrations.
Of course that is just an argument and not very convincing. We might have had a mB state, which might have beat down all rivals or we might not have. We still might have had a 3 way civil war of Kurd, Alawite and Sunni.
Qatar, UAE, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Al Qaeda all placed their bets and they placed them early before Russia got involved.
So far the situation in Syria after all these years doesn't say much for anyone.
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