Sunday, November 8, 2020

Do The U.S. Presidential Election Numbers Make Sense?

WNU Editor: I promised on Thursday that I was going to do a quick examination on the US Presidential  election results, and report back on Sunday. I personally did not expect anything, but in my quick analysis I did find anomalies in three of the five swing seats. Basically more votes cast for the Presidency than for members of Congress in each of these three states. I would think that the numbers would match and/or come close to it. After-all. If you are voting for your President, would you also vote for your representative for Congress. But in my quick examination I did notice differences in county numbers for President and Congress..

But what I have done is not enough. I need to collect more data. My plan is to wait until the final votes are tallied .... which should be in the coming days. After that go to each swing-state and go county to county and count the total votes for President, then compare this number with the official total (They should match). Then do the same for each Congressional district in this state, and count the total votes cast for Congress. With these numbers I will then compare them and hope that the total Presidential numbers and the total Congressional numbers come close to matching.

I will also be comparing these results to the results of 2016 to see if they correlate.

My goal is to be finished by next Sunday at this time. If the numbers are close. No problem. But if there is a significant difference between the Presidential and congressional vote numbers in 2020 for a swing-state, but none in 2016, this will then raise more uncomfortable questions than answers. 

14 comments:

Anonymous said...

Everybody will regret not finding the truth.

If Biden won clean be it.
If Trump lost clean be it.

iIf cheating happenef everybody will regret everything.

Anonymous said...

The numbers do not makes sense.

People have been doing a goodness of fit test of the votes. They should look like a exponential curve. They do not because of vote stuffing.

Also, how come Republicans can win so many down ballot races and lose the presidency. I do not buy the divisive argument. Democrats have called Republicans racist for too many years among other things. Also, I remember university history profs just ripping Reagan to shreds. I came in to drop a history course (my easy A), because the history prof was terrible. Prof scattershot key words all over the board in a machine gun fashion. No one could take notes fast enough. I dropped the course. So I camp the prof's office early in the morning, so that I could get the drop slip signed. As I wait, these profs file in and sit down, and start belly aching to each other from their individual offices about how bad Reagan was. That was the start of their day.

Then there are the poll watchers. Denying poll watchers access is prima facie evidence of crime.




"Biden's vote tallies violate Benford’s law, which is a smoking gun for election fraud. The digits of the vote counts are expected to follow an exponential distribution across the integers if the tallies are legit. Trumps do, Biden's DON'T."

https://twitter.com/Adam_Stratford_/status/1324408618880557060?

Just about an sociology, psychology, engineering, math, or science major should be able to do a goodness of fit test.

Now, most judge won't buy it., because they can wave their hands and say that statistics are iffy and icky and they think if they kick the can down the road they can kick as well as any legislator.

So if enough judges pass on it the partisans and hacks will scream "See, see nothing there!"

But people who deal with mathematics will be pissed. We'll put it in neutral, go merc, nurse a grudge, but there will be no healing of divisions.

Joe don't care. He doesn't know what an exponential curve is mathematically. His household has 5 college grads and I bet not a one of them knows what an exponential curve or a goodness of fit test is.

I do know this. Joe knows enough to barely recognize the shape and say that something is growing exponentially to scare people and get buy in.

I would like to know, if you clients know what one is. If they are quants (or quantish), they know. If they are quants, they know the election was stolen and although they have the same politics as Joe (mostly lets say 51% to 70%), the theft and the resulting fallout makes them uneasy.

Anonymous said...

a very entertaining read on this subject:
https://monsterhunternation.com/2020/11/05/the-2020-election-fuckery-is-afoot/

Anonymous said...

Mathematical impossibilities may be what trips up Democrat plans

www.americanthinker.com/blog/2020/11/mathematical_impossibilities_may_be_what_trips_up_democrat_plans.html

People are pissed.

Anonymous said...

Kolmogorov-Smirnov Goodness-of-Fit Test

www.itl.nist.gov/div898/handbook/eda/section3/eda35g.htm

Here's a thought. Go ask a Russian statistician. You have to know one. The French started statistics, but it was one Russian mathematician that put the field of statistics on a firm theoretical basis. We are talking scary whip smart, they eat your lunch smart.

Which begs a question about the USSR.

It also shows us the future of the US if this corruption is allowed to stand.



Anonymous said...

Facebook and Twitter Suspend Accounts That Posted on Benford’s Law Showing Biden’s Implausible Vote Totals — LABELING IT “SEXUAL EXPLOITATION”

www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/11/update-facebook-twitter-suspend-accounts-posted-benfords-law-showing-bidens-implausible-vote-totals-labeling-sexual-exploitation/

Zuckerberg and Dorseyt know what is at stake. So they are going all out.

Mathematics is not name calling or incendiary.


1 Kolmoggorov is worth 10,000 Zuckerbergs.

Anonymous said...

"Benford’s law or the first-digit law, is used to check if a set of numbers are naturally occurring or manually fabricated. It has been applied to detect the voting frauds in Iranian 2009 election and various other applications including forensic investigations."

So we will call out the Iranians for fraud based on a statistical analysis but not the Americans, because Americans are high and noble like Tolkein elves and would never ever cheat or anything.

Cross my heart and hope to die!

War News Updates Editor said...

I am well aware on what the social media giants are doing right now when it comes to censoring any questions concerning this US Presidential election.

War News Updates Editor said...

I am also aware of Benford's Law. But what I am doing is different and simpler. More data crunching and comparing current results to past results rather than statistical analysis.

Anonymous said...

What 10:38 said. That's what I would support

Anonymous said...

They delete the Hunter Biden tape!! They throttle comments @YouTube. They ban and delete and unlist channels, some try to come back.. but they get deleted over and over.. those that report on the Hunter Biden China spy ring connection and his audio tape and how much his father, Joe Biden, got. Sworn witnesses.

I think arrests will be next.. not sure where, but my guess is the China connection is real and the Democrat party is in panic mode, overplayed their typical voter fraud card, got caught, don't know what to do as this involves treason to democracy, the death of the Democrat party, long prison sentences for all involved. The willingness of big tech to trample your rights. The media blackout. It's full on conspiracy.

And now president trump has to wear a bullet proof west. What shame! He fought for you so hard, China attacked you and you sit there and listen to the lies of the Democrats? Just when do you stand up?

China: apparently evil. Concentration camps. Totalitarianism. Ethnic cleansing. Basically nazis.

Democrats: borderline insane, panicking, corrupt treasonous connections to China

Republicans: lawful, but you got your head up your asses. The time to wait is over. Listen to the Hunter Biden audiotape. Then judge. Do it legally. But support Trump or tyranny will be everywhere soon

Andrew Jackson said...

Worry about crappy Canadia ED,stay out of our business!

Anonymous said...


AJ, your comment overlooks one thing...our "business" reeks to high heaven at the moment. The more exposure that explains why there is such a stench, the better. If the the exposure comes from Timbuktu and it's valid, good.

Anonymous said...

Please look at the Michigan Senate race as well (Peters vs James)