Joe Biden visits U.S. troops in Kabul, Afghanistan, in 2011, when he was vice president. Biden has been highly critical of President Trump's foreign policy and says he'll work to improve frayed relations with many traditional U.S. partners. Dusan Vranic/AP
President Trump distilled his foreign policy into the phrase "America First." In practice, the result has often been friction with allies, withdrawal from international agreements and the scaling back of the leading international role the U.S. has played for generations.
President-elect Joe Biden wants to restore a more traditional U.S. posture: warmer relations with longstanding partners, a recommitment to organizations like NATO, and a U.S. that's once again front-and-center on the global stage.
"The world does not organize itself," Biden wrote in a lengthy article in Foreign Affairs in March. "For 70 years, the United States, under Democratic and Republican presidents, played a leading role in writing the rules, forging the agreements, and animating the institutions that guide relations among nations and advance collective security and prosperity — until Trump."
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WNU Editor: If you want to be center stage in global affairs you must put the money, effort, energy, focus, and presence to make it happen. Does Joe Biden have that within him to make that happen? Maybe 10 years ago he had it. But today, many in the world see what I see. A man who is old, suffering cognitive difficulties, and only appears to be busy for a few hours a day.
But even with these limitations, there is a team behind Biden, and this is what I expect from a Biden administration when it comes to international relations and global affairs.
The hope in Europe is that the U.S. under Biden will reverse Trump's insistence that its allies must pay their "fair share" in defense procurement. If what I am reading and hearing from Biden's campaign and transition team .... they are not going to pressure NATO allies to keep to their promises.
The U.S. will join the Paris Accords, thereby hurting its economy in the middle of a pandemic, and it will join WHO without insisting that it reform itself to avoid a repeat of its disastrous and slow response to the coronavirus pandemic.
I would not be surprised if in the coming months we start to hear that there are talks between Iran and the U.S.. And after that the removal of some sanctions.
The U.S. military presence in the Middle East will increase, and the process for the final withdrawal of the remaining U.S. military forces in Afghanistan will be reversed.
Not mentioned in the above report is Africa. President Trump made the decision in September to downsize Africom, the official Pentagon's presence in Africa. That decision is going to be reversed.
A reversal of Trump policy when it comes to Cuba. The removal of some sanctions on Venezuela.
On China I expect the Biden administration will cave in to China's insistence that their trade deal done with Trump be re-negotiated. A Biden administration will also avoid any mention of the labour camps in Xinjiang, and it will pull-back from President Trump's efforts to form an Asian alliance to face China by focusing instead on strengthen bilateral security/military arrangements with it's allies. I think this pulling-back in efforts to put together an Asian alliance to face Chinese aggression will be seen years later as a huge strategic mistake by the U.S..
On the issue of North Korea, President Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un always maintained a line of communications between each other even with all of their differences. That line is going to be cut-off.
On the issue of Russia, I expect a worsening of relations under a Biden administration. START will be renewed for another five years, but aside from that, I do not see anyone in the incoming Biden administration having a clue on what is happening in Russia right now. And what is worse. Are not interested to even know.
9 comments:
"A Biden administration will also avoid any mention of the labour camps in Xinjiang," -
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/21/us/politics/trump-uighurs-china-trade.html
WNU, you really are giving too much into your political bias to see/trace back what has been said before.
Anon 2:30
I am talking about the Biden team and what they are going to do.
Not what Trump did.
A post mortem on Trump's foreign policy successes and failures will be done by this blog at a later date.
Why cry for the Uighurs? It makes no sense. There is no pay off. You can pay $1 and get back less than 1 cent. So why do it.
The only pay off in mentioning the Uighurs is to mention them occasionally, where it on your sleeve and use that sleeve to wipe the tears form you eyes. Then for get the Uighurs for 2 or 3 years and have good cry of the the Central American migrants. Then move on to migrants crossing the Mediterranean.
Until people on both sides want to spend real, sustained political capital on the Uighurs, why bring them up?
Seriously 2:30, you are not willing to go to war against the CCP and be on the front line. You are not willing to impose a trade embargo against China miss out on your meds.
So WTF!
It is like the 90 lb weakling. He does not confront the bully until after he finishes bulking up. And what will Biden do? Cut the military.
So go fly a kite in a thunderstorm.
I have a sure fire business in mind; white flags retailer. Our main outlet will be in Washington, DC.
Biden and ilk, like other administrations before it, will continue creating purchasing power from air by releasing a clear and odor-free gas into the atmosphere over the 50 states and lulling people, through a soothing chant named MMT, or Modern Monetary Trickery. The chief musicians and chanters will be called The Federal Reserves.
After a determined period of time our doors will open and the retail outlet will only accept real and valuable objects as payment. The only paper considered of value and therefore acceptable payment will be books, a few older novels, and items of historical interest including old banknotes redeemable in silver or gold. Round metal disks of various sizes and designs created from commercial metals of little value will be accepted but only on a per pound basis minus delivery costs.
Core-us-spon-dence [geeze english spellings annoy me] may be sent by mail only to White Flag Tooth Fairy Dust Banners. No address needed as it exists only in the minds of some but is not a functioning street number.
I'm sure the people of Libya, Ukraine, Iraq, Yemen and Syria are excited to get Biden in the White House.
Ed.going B Poster on us,LOL!!
I'm sure the people of Libya, Ukraine, Iraq, Yemen and Syria are excited to get Biden in the White House.
^^^Best comment^^^
Short, sweet, and cuts deep.
@ 2:41 PM -
Yes, but you say it as if Trump hasn't failed in this process, for which he has.
The process is foreign policy, which covers a rather broad number topics and countries.
What is you beef? That Trump did not give Xi a hummer like Monica did bill?
If you are really worried about Xi's sex life, don't be. Biden will take care of it. Promise.
If many presidents of both parties promise to move the embassy to Jerusalem and Trump actually does it, do you count that as a failure? I think you would.
"In recent decades, Presidents Bill Clinton, Barack Obama and George W. Bush all called for the embassy to be moved and for the Israeli capitol to be officially recognized. "
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