It's not clear how long those hopeful trends will continue.
Newly recorded COVID-19 cases and deaths in the United States, which rose dramatically this fall, now seem to be declining. According to Worldometer's numbers, the seven-day average of daily new cases fell by 18 percent between December 18 and yesterday. The seven-day average of daily deaths has fallen by 19 percent since December 22.
Daily new cases in the U.S. are still five times as high as they were in mid-September, while daily deaths are three times as high as they were in mid-October. But the seven-day average of daily deaths, about 2,200 as of yesterday, has dropped slightly below last spring's peak after exceeding it for several weeks. The recent trends, assuming they continue, are a hopeful sign that the winter might not be quite as deadly as many people feared.
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WNU Editor: Too early to say. But the data is showing a small "levelling off".
3 comments:
Part of the small "leveling off" that is being observed is the lack of reporting cases over the holiday season. The testing is still being done and the cases logged but it's not being reported to the databases that show case numbers to the public.
How are cases really doing? It's hard to say. With increased testing and contact tracing we're catching cases we wouldn't have before.
Also, now if we sneeze or cough we get spooked and run to one of the many rapid results testing centers that have multiplied exponentially so we can get a test that tends to err on the side of false positive. I would expect to see a "spike" in cases after the first of the year as the people who do the reporting return to work and catch up on the backlog of cases that haven't been reported to the public yet.
There are administrative delays in reporting over weekends. That should be over for Christmas of Monday or Tuesday. Same will be true for New Years There or more people here have already commented on the spikes due to lags in reporting. It messes with data analysis and health officials and reporters should do a better job. For its onw sake and for public trust, reporting needs to show deaths on Saturdays and Sunday and not all on Mondays.
Speaking of truth charlatan Fauci forgot which arm hurts from his COVID the shot.
"Crazy Dr. Fauci Appears to be Vaccinated on Live TV Then the Next Day He Forgets Which Arm Received the Shot"
Why would the spike be leveling off? People are concentrated indoors more in the winter. LTC facility people are always congregated indoors, winter or not. LTC people, who are elderly, have comorbidities or are pasty are the target audience for the virus. They have always been cloistered.
This winter so far and 10 fays out does not seem so bad. There has only been 2 days in the teens and two consecutive days in the teens or lower. 10 day out is the same. Although December has less daylight, January is colder due to lag effects. The 10 day forecast looks mild. Overall it seems as though it will be a mild winter. Without low temperatures and humidity stressing people as much, there will be fewer deaths.
So far there has been no Canadian Clipper, Alberta Express, Arctic Blast or whatever fancy name the weatherman and climate charlatans come up with the scare the natives watching their boob tubes. It has been a mild winter, so far in the shield lands. Hopefully, it last through the last half of January and the first half of February. Although severe cold is beneficial so I have been led to believe as it kills posts in the temperate climate zones that would become problems during the warmer months.
The elderly population is growing or replenishing all the time. But on the time scale of a viral epidemic it is finite. The virus has done burned through its feedstock.
And maybe people are washing their hands, but I doubt it. They need hidden cameras in bathrooms and not in the stalls, but by the sinks. Perhaps they could get people in a location to sign away their privacy or get a judge to sign off on it. Not a lot of people with chapped hands and it is not all because they are using moisturizer. It is more that than masks or no masks.
stop picking your nose
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