Saturday, February 27, 2021

The Most Likely Timeline For Life To Return To Normal From The Covid-19 Pandemic

Joe Piunsker, The Atlantic: The Most Likely Timeline for Life to Return to Normal 

An uncertain spring, an amazing summer, a cautious fall and winter, and then, finally, relief. 

The end of the coronavirus pandemic is on the horizon at last, but the timeline for actually getting there feels like it shifts daily, with updates about viral variants, vaccine logistics, and other important variables seeming to push back the finish line or scoot it forward. 

When will we be able to finally live our lives again?

Pandemics are hard to predict accurately, but we have enough information to make some confident guesses. A useful way to think about what’s ahead is to go season by season. In short: Life this spring will not be substantially different from the past year; summer could, miraculously, be close to normal; and next fall and winter could bring either continued improvement or a moderate backslide, followed by a near-certain return to something like pre-pandemic life.

Here, in more detail, is what Americans can expect daily life to look like for the next four(-ish) seasons. 

Read more .... 

WNU Editor: Pandemics tend to burn themselves out after two to three years. Throw in vaccines, and the above timeline makes sense.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Looking at the picture in the blog post of all that skin, young and middle aged, I am reminded that in my locale one 50 something died and they had pre-existing conditions and lived in long term care. Generally, if you were 60 or older but really 70 and lder and/or in poor health, you could die of COVID.

If a LTC faked a death certificate for money to record a COVID death instead of some other death, no one would look or care.


"Our ruling: True
We rate the claim that hospitals get paid more if patients are listed as COVID-19 and on ventilators as TRUE.

Hospitals and doctors do get paid more for Medicare patients diagnosed with COVID-19 or if it's considered presumed they have COVID-19 absent a laboratory-confirmed test, and three times more if the patients are placed on a ventilator to cover the cost of care and loss of business resulting from a shift in focus to treat COVID-19 cases."

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/factcheck/2020/04/24/fact-check-medicare-hospitals-paid-more-covid-19-patients-coronavirus/3000638001/

It is a cold virus with 39 proteins. What happens when they thoroughly characterize the code and action of the 39 proteins and show that this was all hype?

Proteins fold.

The folded shape of proteins will determine how the act or interact. At some point you runout of wiggle room.