In this file photo US Deputy Chief of Naval Operations Vice Admiral John Aquilino speaks about the results of an investigation into a January incident where Iranian forces detained 10 US Navy personnel, during a press briefing at the Pentagon in Washington, DC, June 30, 2016. (AFP/Saul Loeb)
Hong Kong (CNN)China is quickly amassing weapons and systems to militarily overwhelm Taiwan, an action it could be poised to take within the next six years, the admiral chosen to be the next commander of US forces in the Pacific warned Tuesday.
"My opinion is this problem is much closer to us than most think," Adm. John Aquilino said before the Senate Armed Services Committee, which was reviewing his nomination to lead the US military's Indo-Pacific Command.
China considers establishing full control over Taiwan to be its "number one priority," added Aquilino.
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10 comments:
Trust the Generals and Admirals as far as you can throw them.
Which is to say not at all.
I suspect sooner, much sooner, than the six year estimate. China will not play the waiting game after Trump administration policies towards Taiwan demonstrated a swift change in strategy for China.
The Chinese like everyone else knows if they want to take Taiwan it must be in the next year, before the next US congressional elections.
If they feel there's a chace Trump might successfully run in 2024,they'll go beforehand as during war time the sitting president (now Biden /harris) is typically voted back into office. Plus with Biden harris in office the trend is anyways to lie about your own and appease to the offenders. So they'd fall on their knees and kiss the Chinese ring.
We might see war late 2022. A good year.
It started 2022.
Global war.
It started like it always started.
How it ended is what this story is about. ..
Preorder copies now :D M^2
"Trust the Generals and Admirals as far as you can throw them."
Interesting comment.
An admiral gets 6 side buoys, It dates back to a time. when admirals were lifted up onto a sailing ship.
Older, richer men were naturally err heavier back in the day. It would take 6 strong men to lift an admiral onto ship.
https://www.seaflags.us/customs/honors.html
http://www.seaflags.us/customs/trads.html
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sideboy
"This process is a ritual throwback to the days when coming aboard a ship meant either climbing up a rope ladder or being hoisted ..."
How far could 6 men toss an admiral?
Simultaneously with a Chinese invasion is a North Korean assault on South Korea. Present an insoluble problem to the USA.
That is a very interesting scenario and very plausible.
NO PROBLEM. NUKE THEM TIL THEY GLOW.
Why wouldn't the Chinese invade Taiwan? After the Anchorage Summit fiasco, they're convinced that they are dealing with lightweights. The US SECSTATE actually apologized for the United States after being insulted by the Chinese delegation. And all they did was regurgitate left wing anti-American talking points. We had nothing.
What does China actually have to fear of they did launch an invasion - the wrath of the giggling, incompetent, barely coherent, stumbling "Biden-Harris Administration"?
Coming from a position of weakness in the face of strength is a good way to wander blind into war.
But it will again be Orange Man's fault. Like everything else.
Spot on, RussInSoCal
Well the aftermath of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would be a destabilisation of trade routes for many countries including Russia in the region. Or they'd have to go all the way around the south China Sea/Taiwan area, or go up north I guess. ..
Any thoughts on trade route impacts?
Also Taiwan is heavily dependent on oil imports. .so likely the Chinese will go for the couple of oil ports they have which will render Taiwan forces immobile within a few weeks just because they'd run out of oil quickly.... then China would have to divert quite a bit of its own oil to Taiwan to keep them going over there post invasion. They would move tons of missile systems (land->sea and land->air) forward to all sides of Taiwan giving it a great 360 extension of its current missile network. They'd expand the air fields and build artificial islands everywhere.
In the next step they'd go for helping north Korea invade south Korea. I don't think they'll do it all at once as this would trigger a massive war.
Likely once fortress Taiwan is established and the great reunification goal(by force but whatever)is established, the party will first celebrate and massively focus on economics some more. ..I don't think they'll have to invade south Korea. ..they will fall in line by 2030...
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