A US soldier uses the optic on his rifle to observe Afghans in the distance, near forward operating base Gamberi in Laghman province of Afghanistan [File: Lucas Jackson/Reuters]
New York Times: Officials Try to Sway Biden Using Intelligence on Potential for Taliban Takeover of Afghanistan
If U.S. troops leave before any deal between the Taliban and the Afghan government, the militant group will take over much of the country, an intelligence assessment predicted.
WASHINGTON — As President Biden signaled this week that he would let a May 1 deadline pass without withdrawing American troops from Afghanistan, some officials are using an intelligence assessment to argue for prolonging the military mission there.
American intelligence agencies have told the Biden administration that if U.S. troops leave before a power-sharing settlement is reached between the Taliban and the Afghan government, the country could fall largely under the control of the Taliban within two or three years after the withdrawal of international forces. That could potentially open the door for Al Qaeda to rebuild its strength within the country, according to American officials.
The classified assessment, first prepared last year for the Trump administration but not previously disclosed, is the latest in a series of grim predictions of Afghanistan’s future that intelligence analysts have delivered throughout the two-decade-long war.
But the intelligence has landed in a changed political environment. While President Donald J. Trump pushed for a withdrawal of all forces even before the terms of the peace deal required it, Mr. Biden has been more cautious, saying Thursday that he does not view May 1 as a deadline he must meet, although he also said he “could not picture” troops being in the country next year.
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WNU editor: I do not think they will have to do much convincing. The Biden administration do not want to be remembered for losing Afghanistan to the Taliban. The prospect of the Taliban rolling back all the advances that women have made in Afghanistan will be enough to convince the Biden administration to not leave the country.
More News On U.S. Intelligence And Military Officials Trying To Convince The Biden Administration To Stay In Afghanistan
Top U.S. General: Afghan Army Could Not Survive on Its Own -- US News and World Report
Update: The Taliban are not going to accept this .... Biden wants to explore keeping U.S. counter-terrorism troops in Afghanistan: top lawmaker (Reuters). More here .... US ‘exploring keeping’ counterterrorism troops in Afghanistan (Al Jazeera).
7 comments:
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"The Biden administration do not want to be remembered for losing Afghanistan to the Taliban."
Good
"The prospect of the Taliban rolling back all the advances that women have made in Afghanistan"
Good
All good. Here is the fly in the ointment. They have no plan to stop Pakistan's support for the Taliban. Thus they have no plan to win and cannot win.
Their 'patriotism' is worthless. Will they serve in Afghanistan or will their children go?
Biden's son went. Let it be noted that he did so in the very studiously considered position of Rear Echelon MotherFucker.
Does it matter? Yes. The execrable Senator Blumenthal claimed to be a combat vet. He was not. So why was there a fuss. There is often times a huge difference in risk between a combat vet and a REMF vet. Beau Biden was a REMF vet like me. Woe to the person, who claims to be combat vet, who is not.
So again are the administration officials going to send their kids as trigger pullers, people, who patrol?
If it is a short war of 3 years or less of maybe 5 or 6 years, it is not as big of a deal as a forever war. There rancid fuckers have no plan to win.
Forever wars consume budget that could go to procurement, research or manpower, which the current jackwagon in the White House want to cut.
Can the DoD train for brush wars and Peer on peer wars art the same time. Yes. Chance that they may be less successful on training for the peer on peer war with more brush wars than you can count.
Can the train for peer on peer wars, bush wars, and CRT? I seriously doubt it.
Does training matter? The Carolina Maneuvers held in the month before the US entered in WW2 is credited wit greatly assisting the US effort in Europe due to what they learned.
It is TIME to FISH OR CUTR BAIT. Either win or leave.
The bad logic is: more boots on the ground. Obama again.
8:21
You have a point? Your dick hurts?
For the sake of argument let's assume it is true. Why not destabilize China? First, the are communist or were. Now, they are just an oligarchy with a foundation story. Communists and communism has the aim of conquering the whole world. Second, China has been messing with US elections for a long time. They have done it for a whole generation or longer.
- Hsi Lai Buddhist Temple
- The consulate closures in Texas last year were due to PRC involvement in the unrest on American streets.
Jac,
Obama had a good plan in 2009/2010. He 1/2 assed it, but he had a good plan. The Pakistanis doubled down. Obama needed to double down. He did not.
Obama was like President Hoover in that regard. Hoover and others had a plan for recessions. It was government stimulus. They had infrastructure projects lined Hoover did not go big enough. Keynes is misquoted or misapplied. Deficit spending is okay during a recession. It smooths it over. But you have to be biblical in you deficit spending,. You cannot deficit spend forever. It has to be more like 7 good years and 7 bad years.
Trump solved the issue. period. Hez did not stay. He did not leave. he....?
8:50,
If you are going to Dump on Trump, please try to keep up with the last 7 years. Trump never claimed to solve the Afghan problem in perpetuity. No one in Washington is offering anything much different. They all want to get out and have the Afghan government last a decent amount of time 3 or 6 years or 1 elections cycle before it falls, so they have a fig leaf.
Trump said he wanted American forces to withdraw to stop literal and fiscal hemorrhaging. Also to keep out eye on the ball (peer on peer conflict), which relies on training and doctrine.
Other than the fig leaf some have a vague notion of middling forward kicking the can down the road with the military doing something for national pride, to escape blame for having lost, for Afghan women or something.
National prestige or Pride and doing something for Afghan women are good. But are they good enough to be set off by the eternal annual cost? There is no plan to win. there is only a plan to infuse our enemy with funds.
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