Thursday, August 26, 2021

Will The Debacle In Afghanistan Impact U.S. Democrat Prospects In Next Year's Midterm Elections?

CNBC: Biden’s approval ratings have plummeted, and that could spell trouble for Democrats in Congress 

* The chaos surrounding the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan and the emergence of the Covid delta variant have driven President Joe Biden’s approval ratings to their lowest point in his presidency. 

* While Afghanistan dominates cable news, pollsters say Covid is likely the main factor behind Biden’s slip in the polls. 

* Passage of two big spending bills this fall could help turn things around for Biden and Democrats in Congress. 

WASHINGTON — President Joe Biden is having a very bad month. 

His poll numbers have slipped to their lowest point of his presidency, and much of it has to do with Covid and Afghanistan. 

The frenzied U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan appears to have shaken voters’ faith in his promise to bring competence and a steady hand back to the White House. 

Americans across the political spectrum are horrified by images of desperate mobs trying to get to the Kabul airport and flee the country. Biden insists that an element of chaos was inevitable with any U.S. withdrawal. 

But after 20 years of war and nation-building, the speed with which Afghanistan fell to the Taliban raises painful questions about whether American soldiers died in vain.  

Read more ....  

WNU Editor: Democrats and their supporters are optimistic that losing Afghanistan will not damage President Biden.... Will Afghanistan Take Biden Down? Not Likely (Seth Masket, Politico).  In turn, this will  not cost them in next year's U.S. midterm elections

What do you think?

11 comments:

Anonymous said...

FOOLS!

Jac said...

Democrat's are using the Coué method (auto-suggestion). On top of that how they can guess what will happen in 2022 when nobody can see what will happen tomorrow?

B.Poster said...

At this point, it's to early to say. The decision to redeploy from Afghanistan was the correct one I'm my considered opinion. Most Americans seem to agree.

With that said it is generally agreed that redeployment has been mismanaged. By the time the mid terms come this redeployment may be looked upon favorably. Very respectfully I think it's premature to call the situation a "debacle."

Whether it ultimately turns out to indeed be a debacle or stroke of genius I don't anticipate Afghanistan having much of an impact on the election except perhaps at the margins. I can think of several things that are likely to carry much more weight. 1.) The economy is soft right now and in a very fragile state. 2.) Inflation is problematic and getting worse. 3.) The pandemic is raging more severely than it ever has here. While the vaccines have shown utility in lessening the threat from the disease, they are very dangerous in and of themselves. After all these resources thrown at it, our only options appear to be dangerous disease or dangerous vaccine and to top it off the vaccine is hardly an iron clad assurance against the disease!! 3.) Our border situation is chaotic to say the least. Opening the borders in this manner seems unwise at any time and is especially unwise during a raging pandemic. Such actions have the makings of the ultimate dyoer spreader events.

Failure to properly address and fix these issues will cause the Democrats to get creamed in 2022. Of course this does assume electoral integrity can be ensured.

As for Afghanistan, it's to early to declare it a debacle and regardless how it ultimately ends up I don't see it having much of an impact. I could envision leadership hastily getting us out of Afghanistan to focus on broad and butter issues that matter to beleaguered Americans. Currently I think the US government has the Taliban on a tight leash and since they wish to remain in charge of the country I don't really expect them to bother us much.

RussInSoCal said...

Afghanistan isn't going away. The Taliban will hold a number of Americans past the 8/31 deadline. Taliban/ISIS-K can and will concoct any number of terror attacks between now and then and beyond. Biden will have imported tens of thousands of unvetted Afghans into our country - with ZERO knowledge of their alliances or history.

The Democrats are arrogant, poll driven, short-sighted scumbags. To make the crass political calculation that "The AFG Loss won't hurt Biden", tells me that they couldn't care less about the death and disaster they have caused and will simply move on to the next folly.

If American voters put up with the tone-deaf incompetence and the series of destructive policies by this illegitimate Biden admin, and allow it to be empowered by a mid-term success, the US deserves it good and hard.

Anonymous said...

Tag team

When COVID spammer exits stage left Imposter shows yup and does his best Grima Wormtongue impression.

B.Poster said...

Anon (10:23),

The character you compare me to is not a good one. Essentially without cause you accuse me of not being truthful. Such actions add nothing of value to the discussion and aren't helpful.

Russ raises an interesting point about thousands of unvetted Afghans ate about to be allowed in. Many of them likeky have terrorist ties and that isn't even on the Taliban. Our vetting process flawed as it appears to be is on us.

Essentially the Afghan situation is fluid and even if the ultimate outcome turns out favorable I don't think it's going to have much an electoral impact. Russ is right that it should matter more but it won't. I've pointed out three issues that I think will resonate far more. If you perceive a problem with my analysis, I'm all eyes. Presenting the perceived flaws might be helpful. Baseless insults don't add value and are counter productive.

Anonymous said...

The character I compare you to, is not a good one. It is a great one. R-squared of 1.00

B.Poster said...

Do you have anything of value to add to the discussion? Presumably you don't abd wish to seem relevant by hurling baseless insults at me.

Anonymous said...


At this point I don't think the Afghan situation will cause biden to not finish out term his health permitting.
Increasingly I feel there are a bunch of people who didn't come through. The military planning seems almost non-existent. The current administration consists of an embarrassing crowd of strangers suddenly popping up.
Frankly I think as the economy struggles over the next couple of years the dims will continue to lose support, a situation that was occurring during obamma's presidential attempts.

B.Poster said...

Russ,

I think we are in agreement that what happens in Afghanistan should be a big issue. If it ends up well, I think it simply goes away. If it doesn't assuming the Taliban don't bother us here or make to much bothersome noise, the issues I point out above are bread and butter issues directly impacting the ability of us to care for our families. Unless something changes these are likely to get worse. In such an environment?, focusing on Afghanistan will likely be seen as a distraction and the voters will punish whoever does it. I could be wrong of course and allot can and likely will happen between now and 2022 and 2024.

Anonymous said...

Covid was Trump's achilles heel.

Afghanistan will be Biden's.