Washington Post: Russia planning massive military offensive against Ukraine involving 175,000 troops, U.S. intelligence warns
As tensions mount between Washington and Moscow over a potential Russian invasion of Ukraine, U.S. intelligence has found the Kremlin is planning a multi-front offensive as soon as early next year involving up to 175,000 troops, according to U.S. officials and an intelligence document obtained by The Washington Post.
The Kremlin has been moving troops toward the border with Ukraine while demanding Washington guarantee that Ukraine will not join NATO and that the alliance will refrain from certain military activities in and around Ukrainian territory.
The crisis has provoked fears of a renewed war on European soil and comes ahead of a planned virtual meeting next week between President Biden and Russian President Vladimir Putin.
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WNU Editor: US intelligence has been warning about a massive Russian invasion of Ukraine since the 2014 Maiden revolution. This is just another leaked report.
US Intelligence Says Russia Planning Ukraine Offensive In Early 2022
US intelligence finds Russia planning Ukraine offensive -- AP
US claims Russia planning Ukraine offensive -- DW
US sees signs Russia plans Ukraine invasion in early 2022 -- FOX News
US intelligence shows preparations for rapid Russian push into Ukraine: report -- The Hill
7 comments:
it's basically NATO's fantasy, at this stage
says the blind one
Does Russia even have 175k troops to spare? Its a large country.
The Washington Post has been a conduit for CIA/NSA/FBI gas lighting since Bezos bought it. I am surprised WNU even post stories from there. Ron
More gaslighting by the incompetents in US intelligence. Pedophiles that they are. Useless otherwise that they are. Count on it, whatever China or Russia does, US intelligence will be caught unaware.
Doesn't hurt that China stole the OPM database with names, addresses and vast confidential data about all CIA or DIA workers.
The track record for accuracy of US Intelligence is not good. From Weapons of mass destruction in Iraq to the Trump/Russian collusion in 2016 election, the politicized and falsified findings of US intelligence can not be relied on, I hope the next President will disband CIA and NSA and rebuild from scratch. This is a shame and a disgrace to the good name of the USA.
The Canadians are going to attack Northern Siberia over the Arctic ice cap transported by by their 6 frigates and 6 Submarines.
All in all, the Russians have treated the Mongolians well for a century. They had the usual reasons not to treat the fairly, but they did not act on those reasons.
If Russia attacks Ukraine will Japan find it an opportune time to attack Russia over the Kurils? They have a grudge, but it is highly doubtful they would.
The stans are not going to do anything. Churchill, if he were alive, would try. Any bets on the CIA? The CIA of the 50s through the 80s would, but this is not your grand daddy's CIA. This is the Brennan or Obama CIA.
As Dunnigan put it, if Moscow looks weak Chechnya would try to break away. Taking territory and keeping it does not make one look weak. Committing forces for no result and a stalemate does. Azerbaijan could move on Armenia and it might make Moscow look weak south of the Caucasus Mountains, but Moscow can bide its time and reverse it with a successful result in Ukraine.
If you are Turkey and Ukraine is no longer really you neighbor, you pay more attention to what Moscow wants. Maybe the 3rd or 4th time is the charm, so in Constantinople the Turks would be worried.
China is the big wild card. Moscow pay plenty of attention to Beijing. Besides playing nice for a long time with each other Moscow has nukes. Besides China would use the cover of Ukrainian conflict to take Taiwan. Beijing also needs time to reduce the Uighur problem to a more manageable size or stamp it out entirely. Xinjiang is about 35% to 39% Han in 2018. It is likely to be higher now.
"The Qing began a process of settling Han, Hui, and Uyghur settlers into Northern Xinjiang (Dzungaria) in the 18th century. At the start of the 19th century, 40 years after the Qing reconquest, there were around 155,000 Han and Hui Chinese in northern Xinjiang and somewhat more than twice that number of Uyghurs in Southern Xinjiang"
There is no way Beijing is giving that up and with repression and internal migration. Xinjiang will be majority Han by 2030. They could hold a plebiscite in 2030 and the EU would not say boo.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Xinjiang_County-Level_Ethnicity_Map_(2018_data).svg
If Russia does not worry about China it can temporarily shift troops to effect local superiority and take Eastern Ukraine.
"55% of the ethnic Russians in Ukraine voted for independence." That was 1991.After Ukraine not getting anywhere, some of those 55% might throw their support to Moscow. If post war polling showed the majority content, what would Europe do?
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