Beijing claims the self-governing island of Taiwan as its own territory, and has promised to take it by force if necessary. It has stepped up aggressive flights by warplanes in recent months
* Kurt Campbell, Biden's Asia czar, said 'unofficial' delegation is headed to Taiwan
* It will be led by former Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Mike Mullen
* It is due to arrive on Tuesday amid fears of a Chinese attack on the island
* Critics of President Biden say Beijing may see weakness in his failure to prevent Ukraine's invasion of Ukraine
* Chinese media have warned Taiwan not to rely on Washington
The Biden administration on Monday dispatched former senior defense officials to Taiwan in a show of support as the world wonders whether Russia's invasion of Ukraine could trigger a Chinese invasion of the self-governing island.
The visit will be led by Mike Mullen, former chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, according to a senior administration official.
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WNU Editor: There is going to be no invasion of Taiwan right now. The Chinese do not have the proper assets and numbers (i.e. landing craft) in place to make such an invasion successful. I give it another 2 or 3 years.
11 comments:
no
The War in Ukraine will leave a mark on China. Western weapons are more powerful than they realized and their army has not modernized enough. There are great articles circulating by American soldiers/generals who highlight the lack of training in the Russian forces that engaged first and a clear failure in NCO level leadership. The rigorous training that comes from a professional army who fight by instinct and react as they have trained cannot be taught to a conscript army.
What has changed in the last 24 hours, it looks like the professional army is starting to filter into the conflict mainly in the south. The way the Russian invaders move/react and protect their Technology/equipment has changed.
China will be watching this force, to see how it fairs before it draws any long term lessons from the Ukraine war.
Keep the west guessing.
Supposedly there's even now 70 volunteers from Japan going to Ukrain.Even some from the US. From the /rUkrainConflict subreddit
What flash said
UkrainianConflict* typo
"The Chinese do not have the proper assets and numbers (i.e. landing craft) in place "
Sure about that?
The Chinese have retrofitted civilian craft to be useful or somewhat useful as amphibs.
For the battle of France the Germans used civilian aircraft to ferry troops to establish roadblocks along the flank of the attack thru the Ardennes during the Battle for France. Also, spies established mortar firing emplacements in the yards of properties they owned in Belgium.
If you are counting only purpose built military equipment then China might well come up short.
Even better, while Russia is distracted, retake the Amur region. Dang Tsars seized that long ago.
Still early days to be calling the Russian invasion a failure. This war is just begining. It could last weeks months or even years if there is an insurgency campaign. If China is looking at an invasion of Taiwan, they'll need to do it quickly while Biden is still in the White House. If another candidate becomes president or if Trump retakes the presidency he'll mallet any Chinese invasion force. Keep ducking 🙈
It does seem way to early to declare Russia's war effort a failure. US Intelligence and the experts have staked our foreign policy and perhaps even our very lives on the assumptions that Russia's war effort is failing, will fail, and that the current unity in support of Ukraine and in opposition to Russia and Putin will continue. If these assumptions are accurate, then the policies seem reasonable. If the assumptions are inaccurate, the policies will probably lead to unmitigated disaster for us.
Unfortunately US Intelligences and our so called experta has a history of misreading things. I hope and pray they've gotten it right this time.
"Intelligence" "experts" I apologize for the typos.
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