Sunday, January 15, 2023

Will Russian President Putin Retire In 2023?

Russian President Vladimir Putin congratulates security services officers and veterans on Security Agency Worker's Day, via video link at the Kremlin in Moscow, Russia, in this picture released on December 20, 2022. (photo credit: SPUTNIK/MIKHAIL METZEL/POOL VIA REUTERS) 

Jerusalem Post: Russia's Vladimir Putin afraid of coup, will retire in 2023 - report 

A former ally of the Russian President talked about the possibility that Putin might retire soon, rather then potentially getting killed in a coup. 

A source who was close to Putin once claimed that "the president will nominate his chosen heir already this year, instead of risking his downfall," the British Daily Mail reported on Friday. This comes after the Russian president's popularity is reportedly in a freefall because of repeated military failures in the war in Ukraine. 

According to his former ally, Putin will want to transfer the power to his chosen successor and retire to his palace near the black sea, rather than risk a coup against him, similar to what happened to Qaddafi and other dictators. Furthermore, he claimed Putin will seek to give up power, negotiate an end to the war in Ukraine and also not be part of the elections which are planned for 2024.  

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WNU Editor: If he has a disease that will make it difficult if not impossible for him to govern, I doubt that Putin will retire in 2023. 

As for his future replacement. It was telling that a few weeks ago former Russian President Dimitry Medvedev went to Beijing to deliver a personal note from Putin to President Xi, and President Xi choose to meet Medvedev. As a rule President Xi only meets other "Heads of State", it is very rare that he meets a representative of another government. This was a signal to me that Beijing is expecting Medvedev to replace Putin in the future. 

Another sign that former Russian President Dimitry Medvedev is positioning himself for the top job. He is now the senior Kremlin official in charge of Russia's war industry/economy. this means he has the final say on who gets the tens (if not hundreds) of billions in contracts to fuel Russia's war machine. If you want to build a base of support, what better position to have if want to reward and buy a lot of support.

9 comments:

Anonymous said...

perhaps

Caecus said...

will the Jerusalem Post stop writing stupid articles in 2023?

Anonymous said...

perhaps

Anonymous said...

It never ends

Putins popularity is low
the country is in a shambles,
Russians have run out of tanks
Putin will be overthrown soon
Putin is sick with cancer

Putin is isolated
Putin is going to resign
Putin is Hitler

Putin is now in charge of both the Gestapo and Kepi Tai. He is meeting with Moloch to throw more babies in the fire.

This article is more western bullshit. From the people who said.....We are winning in Afghanistan

Anonymous said...

He's got one more term left in him I think.

RussInSoCal said...

I used to say that Putin really can't "retire" in the traditional sense. He's either in power or dead.

But at this point I think he can retire - when he wants. Not to the Bahamas or Fiji, but maybe to a compound outside of Moscow and another one in Sochi. They'd be armed camps - even prisons in a sense - but he could live there.

/sorta like Obama

Anonymous said...

You have issues

Anonymous said...

No he does not. But the western press does

Anonymous said...

Putin still seems fairly healthy and active for a man his age. He still seems mentally sharp which is more than I can say for President Biden who is clearly in cognitive decline (personally I think Biden is unfit for office). He can probably serve at least another term without issue, though anyone in their seventies could experience quick decline in their health.

More important, I don't think Putin can afford NOT to remain in office. While it is possible for him to remain in charge as paramount leader behind the scenes, the formal levels of power are still important. And he can't risk whoever is in charge deciding to take actions against his personal interest, especially now that could legitimately be charged with war crimes. It's far more dangerous for him not to have power than to have it.

The idea that Medvedev could possibly replace him is not what I expected to hear. Every other Russia analyst I know emphasizes that Medvedev does not have an independent power base and seems to have fallen out of favor in Putin's inner circle. But perhaps Putin has decided Medvedev is the best option now that the war has discredited many others or exposed their limitations. Medvedev at least displayed that Putin could count on his loyalty which might be more than others. Though if he take over, he'd need to quickly secure personal loyalty to himself of a lot of people. I think most likely Putin has not decided upon a successor and is still keeping his options open.

Chris