Wednesday, March 29, 2023

Is China A 'Near-Peer' Threat To The U.S.?

Air & Space Forces: The US Thinks China Is a ‘Near-Peer’ Threat. Does China Agree? 

The U.S. military wants to reinvent itself to prepare for a possible conflict with China, a country which many experts believe poses the greatest threat to U.S. national security. But how do Chinese leaders assess the strength of the People’s Liberation Army relative to the U.S. military? Researchers sought to answer that question in a recent report. 

The RAND Corporation report is one of the first analyses to study how the PLA understands and assesses military balance, in contrast to previous research that focused on quantitative aspects, such as how many pieces of equipment the PLA has and how its capabilities compare to those of the U.S. 

Specifically, the report focused on how the PLA views itself in four areas Chinese president Xi Jinping is worried about: political reliability, mobilization, fighting and winning wars, and leadership and command. 

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WNU Editor: In Asia, China's military is definitely up to matching what the US can deploy. But when looked globally, China's lack of infrastructure to deploy forces and materials is limited. I give them another 10 to 20 years before they become the "peer-threat" that many in the Pentagon are worried about.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

China officially has two overseas bases, one in Tajikistan and one in Djibouti. If china wanted to pull into Russian. Iranian, North Korean, Burmese, Cuban , Venezuelan ports they could. If they had a permanent staff of a few people there for shipping and receiving by the loose definition the hand wringers are using, it is a base. As many Chinese professionals in logistics and other areas are dual hatted, it might already show up an their TOE, but not on those of the snobby hand wringers.