How Future Wars Will Be Fought Is Being Showcased In The Armenia - Azerbaijan War

The Economist: The Azerbaijan-Armenia conflict hints at the future of war 

A fleet of cheap Turkish drones is slicing through Armenian defences Azerbaijan’s armed forces may be busy waging war over Nagorno-Karabakh, a disputed enclave run by Armenia. That did not stop them from setting aside scarce helicopters and tanks to star in a music video, complete with khaki-clad singers, guitarists and a drummer. The bellicose heavy-metal tune, accompanied by a montage of bombing raids, would not be out of place in the Eurovision song contest, and is part of a crude attempt by Azerbaijan’s corrupt and autocratic government to rally people round the flag.  

The real war, which began on September 27th, has been less telegenic. Hundreds of people, most of them soldiers, are already believed dead. The fighting is the worst since 1994, when ethnic Armenian forces seized Nagorno-Karabakh and surrounding Azerbaijani districts after a conflict that saw tens of thousands killed and a million people displaced. Azerbaijan claims to have taken a dozen villages in the Jabrayil district, one of seven that ring Nagorno-Karabakh and were occupied by Armenian forces. Azerbaijani cluster munitions have struck Stepanakert, the capital of the breakaway province. Armenian forces have shelled Ganja, Azerbaijan’s second-biggest city. Both sides seem to have used ballistic missiles, and a few stray rockets have landed in next-door Iran. 

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WNU Editor: It is all about having cheap drones, and a lot of them.

The U.S. Air Force Adopts The Concept Of Using Swarms As Its Warfare Model Of The 21st Century

South Front: A Swarm Of Swarms: Toward Aerospace Warfare Model Of The 21st Century

While the phrase “system of systems” has entered relatively common usage some years ago as a reflection of the need to field systems and assets with complementary capabilities that will operate as part of a synergistic whole in their respective domain of warfare, in the realm of aerospace combat the United States is moving in the direction of the “swarm” as the key organizing principle of its combat paradigm. The US Air Force Future Operating Concept which attempts to envision USAF operations in the year 2035 places “interconnectedness” high on the list of buzzwords, and promotes such goals as “Global Integrated Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance” and “Global Precision Strike”, all being controlled from “Multi-Domain Operations Centers” whose ability to manage a wide variety of interconnected systems and assets would guarantee getting inside the adversary’s “Observe, Orient, Decide, Act” (OODA) Loop, a long-standing Holy Grail among US airmen ever since USAF Colonel John Boyd formulated the concept as a result of his Korean War experiences.

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WNU Editor: There is very little in this article that I disagree with. This is how future conflicts be fought, once they solve the software issues in managing such complex networks.

The Pentagon Wants Mind-Controlled Drones

Rickey White pilots an interceptor drone during the ThunderDrone Tech Expo at SOFWERX in Tampa, Fla., Sept. 5, 2017. The expo provided an opportunity for industry, national laboratories and academia to discuss and promote new and innovative drone technology with the special operations community. (Barry Loo/Air Force)

David Axe, Daily Beast: The Pentagon’s Wild Plan for Mind-Controlled Drones

The U.S. military is testing a brain implant that might one day let users control drones with their minds—and for the drones to send signals back.

The U.S. military has tested, multiple times, a brain implant that allows a human operator to simultaneously control, with their thoughts, up to three flying drones.

Well, in theory. The tests, overseen by the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA), were computer simulations. And while they might eventually lead to actual mind control for flying robots, the technology is still in its infancy.

The mind-controlled drone trials took place in Pittsburgh between June 2016 and January 2017, according to DARPA. “Using a bidirectional neural interface, a volunteer named Nathan Copeland was able to simultaneously steer a simulated lead aircraft and maintain formation of two, simulated unmanned support aircraft in a flight simulator,” Tim Kilbride, a DARPA spokesperson, told The Daily Beast.

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WNU Editor: Welcome to the future of war .... The next war might include mind-controlled drones (Military Times), and it is more real than what people realize .... It’s Now Possible To Telepathically Communicate with a Drone Swarm (Defense One).

Future Squadron Leaders Will Be Backed By Drones

The Economist: Tomorrow’s squadron leaders will be accompanied by drones

Welcome to the wingbot

JULY 16th sees the opening of the Farnborough air show. Plane spotters attending the show, which by entente cordiale alternates annually with that in Paris, will be hoping for an appearance by one of the F-35 Lightning fighters delivered recently to Britain’s air force and navy. The F-35 represents the best that the present has to offer in aerial military technology. The minds of visitors from the aerospace industry and the armed forces, though, will mostly be on the future—and in particular what sort of aircraft will follow the F-35. All around the show will be drones of almost every shape and size. This raises the question: will future combat aircraft need pilots?

At least part of the answer can be found 400km north of Farnborough, near Preston, Lancashire. Warton Aerodrome is the site of Britain’s nearest equivalent to Lockheed Martin’s celebrated Skunk Works—a research and development facility run by BAE Systems, the country’s largest aerospace and defence contractor. Inside a high-security building called 31 Hanger sits Taranis, an aircraft named after the Celtic god of thunder.

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WNU Editor:  The future definitely belongs to unmanned systems. We just do not how long it is going to take before we are there.

Is Non-Lethal Force The Future Of Warfare?

U.S. Marine Corps Lance Cpl. Diamond Aranda scans the area while providing security during a downed vehicle recovery in the Now Zad district of Afghanistan's Helmand province, Feb. 16, 2014. Aranda, an assaultman, is assigned to India Company, 3rd Battalion, 7th Marine Regiment. U.S. Marine Corps photo by Cpl. Sean Searfus

The Future of Military Force -- Robert Kozloski, Real Clear Defense

Non-Lethal Force Could Be the Future of Warfare

“Killing people and destroying things for some political purpose” is how prominent defense scholar Richard Betts describes the essence of military force. Betts’ description reflects the pervasive view of military force held by most military and foreign policy experts. However, it does not account for a variety of non-lethal options that policy makers will have to consider using in future conflicts.

America’s use of conventional military force since World War II has achieved mixed political results. In the future, the traditional instruments of national power may be even less effective because of America’s domestic problems and shifts in the geopolitical environment. These conditions will force security experts to develop new approaches to national power projection. As America struggles to maintain its position in the international system, it will be faced with the dilemma that its expensive military tools may not be appropriate for the political task at hand.

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My Comment: You cannot change human nature .... and human nature has been a violent one. And while casualty rates from global warfare have decreased in the past few decades .... it will not take much for such a condition to be blown out of the water and casualty rates approach horrific levels of slaughter that would make the Second World War pale in comparison.

The Future Of Drone Warfare

A Drone-Eat-Drone World -- Nick Turse, Asia Times

United States military documents tell the story vividly. In the Gulf of Guinea, off the coast of West Africa, an unmanned mini-submarine deployed from the USS Freedom detects an "anomaly": another small remotely-operated sub with welding capabilities tampering with a major undersea oil pipeline.

The American submarine's "smart software" classifies the action as a possible threat and transmits the information to an unmanned drone flying overhead. The robot plane begins collecting intelligence data and is soon circling over a nearby

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My Comment: Expect budget cuts to put a damper on this future military/drone environment.

Will Recent War Lessons Aid Future Military Programs And Institutions?

Photo: U.S. President Barack Obama meets with General Ray Odierno after stepping off Air Force One at Baghdad International Airport in Baghdad, April 7, 2009. (Reuters)

Odierno: Recent War Lessons Will Aid Future -- Washington Post

Gen. Ray Odierno, the soon-to-be Army chief of staff, described last week how he hoped to reshape his service as officers like himself, battle-tested over the last 10 years, return from Iraq and Afghanistan.

“We have majors today and captains today that all they’ve experienced is war,” Odierno said during his confirmation hearing before the Senate Armed Services Committee. Change, he added, “is about challenging these leaders who have had so many challenges and been so successful. . . . We have to be able to continue to challenge them because we’re going to need them as we move forward in the future.”

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My Comment: Changing the culture in any military organization is very hard to do, they operate as huge bureaucratic institutions in which change is something that is very hard to accept and even more difficult to implement. I wish General Odierno success in changing this culture .... but if history is any indication .... it is going to be very difficult and the odds are against him.

How Google Earth, iPhone Apps, And Playing 'Call Of Duty" Can Be Used In A War Zone

A screenshot from the game Call of Duty. Inset: the iPhone compass app, and a Google Earth image of Misrata, Libya. Source: Supplied

Google Earth, An iPhone Compass And Experience Playing 'Call of Duty' Have Been Vital To Libya's Rebel War Plan -- The Australian

IT is probably not what the designers of Google Earth had in mind, but for the rebels in the besieged Libyan city of Misrata their software has become a crucial part of the revolutionary armoury: a free battlefield system that helps them to aim mortars and pinpoint Gaddafi tanks.

Other uprisings in the Arab Spring have leant heavily on the organising powers of Facebook and Twitter, but in Libya it is Google Earth that has become an invaluable asset.

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Update: Libyan opposition turn to Google Earth, Call of Duty in battle against Gaddafi forces -- News.com.au

My Comment: The meek (and geeks) are not only going to inherit the earth .... but also its battlefields.

One Day Soldiers May Be Flying Around In Their Own Jetpack

Video: Martin Jetpack Crushes Previous Record by Climbing to 5,000 Feet -- Popular Science

The folks at Martin Jetpack wanted to test their ballistic parachute, but there was a problem--their previous tests had only taken their prototype “jet pack” up to very low altitudes, heights too low to deploy their safety ‘chute. No guts, no glory, as it is said. The video below captures the Martin Jetpack climbing to 5,000 feet in a 10-minute flight (both records for the aircraft as far as we know).

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My Comment: I do not know if soldiers in the future will be flying around in these jetpacks .... but they would certainly look cool if they do.

The New Age Of Warfare Will Use Mini-Weapons

Raytheon is developing a 13-pound GPS-guided "smart bomb" intended to be dropped from a drone. (Jim Muntz/Raytheon Co. / May 31, 2011)

Pentagon Seeks Mini-Weapons For New Age Of Warfare -- L.A. Times

In an effort to cut costs and avoid civilian casualties, manufacturers are developing small 'smart bombs,' drones that resemble model planes and microscopic crystals to tag enemy targets.

Under mounting pressure to keep its massive budget in check, the Pentagon is looking to cheaper, smaller weapons to wage war in the 21st century.

A new generation of weaponry is being readied in clandestine laboratories across the nation that puts a priority on pintsized technology that would be more precise in warfare and less likely to cause civilian casualties. Increasingly, the Pentagon is being forced to discard expensive, hulking, Cold War-era armaments that exact a heavy toll on property and human lives.

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My Comment: Warfare is rapidly becoming a conflict of economics .... the use of expensive jet planes and pricey bombs do not make sense in today's conflicts .... especially when a low cost drone with a small missile can do the same job.

Drones And Special-Ops Is The Future Of The Military

Special-ops Units And Drones May Increase In Future Military -- Sign On San Diego

It was a band of 25 brothers, Navy SEALs, who took down Osama bin Laden last week — not a Marine battalion or an Army division.

As the United States gradually moves away from its major wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, what will its future military force look like — more like that SEAL squad working in secret and in tandem with the Central Intelligence Agency?

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My Comment: The key paragraph is the following ....

.... Since 2001, the military’s Special Operations Command has seen its budget more than quadruple — from about $2.3 billion in 2001 to $9.8 billion today. Its ranks have expanded from 45,500 a decade ago to 61,500 today, according to The Associated Press, citing Pentagon figures.

The numbers say it all.

Are We Approaching A Technological Tipping Point In Warfare?

A Reaper takes off from Creech Air Force Base.

Are Drones A Technological Tipping Point In Warfare? -- Washington Post

Debates are growing at home and abroad over the increasing use of remotely piloted, armed drones, with a new study by the British Defense Ministry questioning whether advances in their capabilities will lead future decision-makers to “resort to war as a policy option far sooner than previously.”

Active and retired U.S. Air Force officers involved in developing drones stress that the aircraft brings in more decision-makers, better targeting data and more accurate delivery systems than fighter jets.

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My Comment: My must read article for today. There is very little that I disagree with in this post, and it sums neatly the direction that policy makers are now finding themselves as drones and other robotic military tools are becoming more accurate and sophisticated.

The Dangers Of Information Overload On The Battlefield

At Langley Air Force Base in Virginia, teams monitor what they have nicknamed “Death TV” — live video from Afghanistan. Doug Mills/The New York Times

In New Military, Data Overload Can Be Deadly -- New York Times

When military investigators looked into an attack by American helicopters last February that left 23 Afghan civilians dead, they found that the operator of a Predator drone had failed to pass along crucial information about the makeup of a gathering crowd of villagers.

But Air Force and Army officials now say there was also an underlying cause for that mistake: information overload.

At an Air Force base in Nevada, the drone operator and his team struggled to work out what was happening in the village, where a convoy was forming. They had to monitor the drone’s video feeds while participating in dozens of instant-message and radio exchanges with intelligence analysts and troops on the ground.

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My Comment: I must confess that over the years of editing this blog .... I have been overwhelmed with information .... and this blog is nothing when compared to the information that drone operators must filter through when they are looking at multiple targets from Afghanistan or from any other war zone.

My prediction .... information overload is going to be a growing problem as technology improves in obtaining data from a battlefield .... and there is very little that can be done about it.

How Israeli Technology Is Speeding Up Warfare

Photo from Thales Raytheon Systems

New Israeli Military Technology Speeds Up Warfare -- Ynet News/AP

Sophisticated communication system that compiles battlefield information in video game-like map interface designed to knock down military's response time.

Intense winds scraped sand from the desert floor, clouding the view and leaving the Israeli soldiers scarcely able to see each other as they practiced blasting artillery shells at distant targets.

In a nearby armored vehicle, commanders armed with small screens could easily monitor every cannon, jeep and target involved, ordering strikes with the tap of a finger. Their weapon: a sophisticated communication system that compiles battlefield information in an easy-to-use, video game-like map interface, helping militaries make sense of the chaos of battle.

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My Comment: Sharing information quickly .... and acting on it even more quickly .... that is one trend that many military organizations (Israel included) are quickly developing.

Robots Will Be The Future Of War

BAE Systems unveils its Taranis unmanned stealth aircraft prototype. Photograph: BAE Systems

Rise Of The Robots And The Future Of War -- The Guardian

With the RAF and the Pentagon pouring huge sums into robotics, Jon Cartwright asks how this could change warfare and what ethical and legal challenges will follow.

Faced with an enemy fighter jet, there's one sensible thing a military drone should do: split. But in December 2002, caught in the crosshairs of an Iraqi MiG, an unmanned US Predator was instructed to stay put. The MiG fired, the Predator fired back and the result, unhappily for the US, was a heap of drone parts on the southern Iraqi desert.

This incident is often regarded as the first dogfight between a drone, properly known as an unmanned aerial vehicle or UAV, and a conventional, manned fighter. Yet in a way, the Predator hardly stood a chance. American and British UAVs are operated remotely by pilots sitting thousands of miles away on US turf, so manoeuvres are hobbled by signal delays of a quarter-second or more. This means evading missiles will always be nigh-on impossible – unless the UAVs pilot themselves.

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Update: Future of war rests with robot Rambos -- ABC News (Australia)

My Comment: UAVs in the air, army bots on the ground, and now the U.S. Navy has its own program .... yup .... the future (appears) to be in robotic platforms.

Drone Video Feeds To Troop Cell Phones in 2 Years

U.S. soldiers use their mobile phones to record a television broadcast showing the inauguration of Barack Obama as the 44th President of the United States, at a U.S. base in Kabul, January 20, 2009. Credit: Reuters/Ahmad Masood

U.S. Army Sees Video To Troop Cell Phones In 2 Years -- Reuters

(Reuters) - The U.S. Army could be streaming surveillance video images from unmanned planes to solders' cellphones in about two years, a senior Army official said on Tuesday.

The Army remains committed to the Joint Tactical Radio System (JTRS) as the main means for disseminating video images to the battlefield, a big program that is still under development and should be fielded in 2014, said Tim Owings, deputy program manager for Army unmanned aerial systems.

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Update: US Army to bring drone images to troop phones soon -- Electronista

My Comment: Once this app is in the field, you just know that soldiers on the ground will be "screaming" to have drones over their heads when they go out on patrol.

What Are Military R&D Departments Developing For Tomorrow's Soldiers

WTF Weapons, From Spy Saucers To Flying Lightsabers -- The Danger Room

Adm. Gary Roughead, the Navy's top officer, is all about practicality these days. In a document he issued to his sailors earlier this week, he vowed that when it came to military gadgets, the Navy would "only develop those capabilities we need, not just want." In these tough economic times, Roughead speaks for a lot of the military's top brass.

Except when he doesn't. R&D in the American military -- and other militaries, ally and enemy alike -- is a story of madcap engineering, oddball design, and loose definitions of "need" and "want." Think rocket launchers that shoot nukes, flying saucers and laser-blasting jets. Definitely laser-blasting jets.

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My Comment: What do I see .... robots .... lots of robots.

Trade Shows What The Future Of Warfare Will Be

AeroVironment's nano-UAVs include one that looks and flies like a real hummingbird and could be used for spying in buildings. The drone is still in the research stage. Sharon Weinberger for AOL News

At Robot Show, Future Of Warfare Is On Display -- AOL News

DENVER (Aug. 27) -- From robotic insects that can crawl and fly to spy drones that look and move like real hummingbirds, the future of warfare was on display this week at a massive robotic conference here.

This year's Association of Unmanned Vehicle Systems International show attracted more than 6,000 visitors --- well above what organizers expected. But perhaps more striking than the number of visitors was the diversity of military and civilian robots and drones on display.

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My Comment: What was once only in Hollywood movies, the use of robots and unmanned vehicles in war zones is rapidly becoming the fastest growth industry for military developers and contractors.

My gut (though) tells me that what we are witnessing today, is nothing when compared to what we will exposed to in 20 - 30 years time.

The Next BIG War Will Be In Asia

Would-Be Asian Superpowers Prepare To Clash When USA Weakens -- Pravda

India will begin the development of its own anti-missile defense system in 2010, the first elements of which, according to reports in Indian newspaper The Hindu, will appear in 2012. The system will be completed by 2016. This information was announced by the Head of the Defense Research and Development Organization (DRDO) in India.

The anti-missile defense system is intended to fulfill various functions, including the attack of targets at a height of over 50 km (in the stratosphere). The anti-missiles PAD and AAD have been designated to carry out this function.

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My Comment: The Pravda commentator uses India's anti-missile program as a backdrop to the growing militarization of Asia and the tensions that it produces. But is his assertion that war in the region will become more likely as this militarization continues and U.S. power wades in the region .... hmmmm .... I would have to say yes.

The 21rst century will be Asia's. More than half of the world lives in this region, and the regional economic and political trends are all on the upswing. This increase in political/economic/and military clout has resulted in tensions and old age animosities coming to the forefront .... a fact that we can now see between India and China and their long existing territorial disputes.

As competition for economic resources and political alliances increases .... with no third party mediation .... anything will then become possible. In Asia's case .... if history is any indication .... this competition has always resulted in large scale regional wars.

What Are The New Rules Of War

The New Rules of War -- Foreign Policy

The visionary who first saw the age of "netwar" coming warns that the U.S. military is getting it wrong all over again. Here's his plan to make conflict cheaper, smaller, and smarter.

Every day, the U.S. military spends $1.75 billion, much of it on big ships, big guns, and big battalions that are not only not needed to win the wars of the present, but are sure to be the wrong approach to waging the wars of the future.

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My Comment: If you have nothing to do .... the above video is a must see for those who are studying and trying to understand the future of war. Both John Arquilla and Victor Davis Hansonare are involved in the discussion .... and they alone makes this video a must see.