Wednesday, August 24, 2016
Thinking The Unthinkable: War With China
Crispin Rovere, The Interpreter: "War with China: Thinking Through the Unthinkable"
Among US analysts, war with China is no longer a taboo subject. RAND Corporation has now tackled the issue head on, publishing a lengthy analysis titled: 'War with China: Thinking through the Unthinkable'. So far, Paul Dibb and Mike Scrafton have provided two excellent assessments on what this means for Australia. This review evaluates RAND’s assessment itself.
RAND presents four conflict scenarios over two different time periods: low-intensity and high-intensity, short and long duration, and occurring either in 2015 or 2025. The low-intensity conflicts are fairly straightforward; however, RAND’s high-intensity 2025 scenario draws a number of contestable conclusions, namely that:
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WNU Editor: A worrying sign of the times .... thinking the unthinkable has become the new trend.