Wednesday, August 24, 2016

Thinking The Unthinkable: War With China


Crispin Rovere, The Interpreter: "War with China: Thinking Through the Unthinkable"

Among US analysts, war with China is no longer a taboo subject. RAND Corporation has now tackled the issue head on, publishing a lengthy analysis titled: 'War with China: Thinking through the Unthinkable'. So far, Paul Dibb and Mike Scrafton have provided two excellent assessments on what this means for Australia. This review evaluates RAND’s assessment itself.

RAND presents four conflict scenarios over two different time periods: low-intensity and high-intensity, short and long duration, and occurring either in 2015 or 2025. The low-intensity conflicts are fairly straightforward; however, RAND’s high-intensity 2025 scenario draws a number of contestable conclusions, namely that:

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WNU Editor: A worrying sign of the times .... thinking the unthinkable has become the new trend.

4 comments:

Unknown said...

There were books on war with Japan starting in the 1920s and maybe even earlier. It came to pass.


We'll see

Jac said...

The earlier the war is the best. Sad to say, but the world is not a play ground.

Unknown said...

"In his 1921 book Sea-power in the Pacific : a study of the American-Japanese naval problem, he predicted naval conflict between Imperial Japan and the United States and expanded the topic further in 1925 book The Great Pacific War. Here Bywater correctly predicted many actions of the Japanese and the Americans, including the Japanese drive to win the "Decisive Battle" and the US island-hopping campaign.[citation needed]

...

The book was translated into Japanese and read by senior officers of the Japanese Imperial Navy."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hector_Charles_Bywater


Bywater was Jane's Friend/acqaintance


Visions of Infamy: The Untold Story of How Journalist Hector C. Bywater Devised the Plans That Led to Pearl Harbor

https://www.amazon.com/Visions-Infamy-Journalist-Bywater-Devised/dp/0312054548

Anonymous said...

it's only a matter of time, it will happen