Iraq Today

My Comment: I have just finished reading the following post on Harry's Place titled Iraq Today. This is a must read post that examines the military and political situation in Iraq today. He also recommends a number of blogs on Iraq and Afghanistan that should be read ..... this list is at the bottom of his post and should be bookmarked.

Iraq Today
Your View, July 1st 2008, 4:27 pm

Guest post by Bruno Mota

The thesis up front: I believe that the most important dynamic in Iraq today is not the fight between Americans and insurgents. It hasn’t been for a long time. For a while it was sectarian conflict, and it nearly destroyed the country. Although the latter dynamic remains significant, it is now secondary to the conflict between parties currently ‘inside’ the structures of power of the Iraqi state and those totally or partially outside who want in. How this tension is resolved will largely determine whether Iraq will move toward a decent outcome or return to civil war.

Insurgent attacks will probably continue for a long time (albeit at a much lower rate than before); but the insurgency has failed strategically and has been largely defeated tactically, and is no longer very significant. Some of the groups previously involved in it still have a significant role to play, but in a different context.

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