Saturday, July 14, 2012

How Influential Is China's ‘People’s’ Army?

Image credit: Luo Shaoyang

How Much Power Does China’s ‘People’s’ Army Have? -- Peter Mattis, The Diplomat

Heated rhetoric out of Chinese military commentators in recent months has some observers wondering whether the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) is playing an increasing role in Beijing’s foreign and national security policymaking. China’s ostensibly more assertive turn—seemingly in line with hawkish pundits—even if more clever, makes the question of military influence in Zhongnanhai important for understanding whether the U.S. policy of shaping China is actually working.

Can the apparently rising influence in Beijing of the PLA be explained without resorting to the regularly heated rhetoric from hawkish commentators—whose authority is at best unclear—such as the prolific Yang Yi and Luo Yuan? The short answer is yes and evidence is accumulating to this effect. The full implications of PLA influence, however, are far from clear.

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My Comment: The Chinese military .... as the Chinese government as a whole .... are enjoying the benefits of a booming economy and the goods and resources that it can bring. With these benefits, the military has been positioned to extract some concessions .... but they will always be subservient to the civilian leadership. And should the economy stall .... do not be surprise if it is the military (like the US military) that will be hit with the first cuts in their programs and budgets.

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