Will Climate Change Cause Violent Conflict? -- Alex B. Berezow, Real Clear Science
It is widely believed that climate change will lead to violent conflict, for instance, over dwindling water and food supplies. However, a recent paper in PNAS casts some doubt on this.
Using a complicated statistical analysis, researchers analyzed the impact of precipitation and temperature on conflict in east Africa. (See below.)
The above panels measure conflict as a function of precipitation (Panel A) or temperature (Panel B). The dashed line represents long-term average (mean) precipitation or temperature, and the X-axis shows changes in these variables (as reported by standard deviations from the mean). The Y-axis represents conflict.
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My Comment: According to their research .... the answer is no. What's my take .... I am not a scientist, but I always in favor of more research in this field.
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