Monday, January 7, 2013

Are We Repeating History?

French troops in the trenches in Verdun during World War I

Eve of Disaster -- Charles Emmerson, Foreign Policy

Why 2013 eerily looks like the world of 1913, on the cusp of the Great War.

The leading power of the age is in relative decline, beset by political crisis at home and by steadily eroding economic prowess. Rising powers are jostling for position in the four corners of the world, some seeking a new place for themselves within the current global order, others questioning its very legitimacy. Democracy and despotism are locked in uneasy competition. A world economy is interconnected as never before by flows of money, trade, and people, and by the unprecedented spread of new, distance-destroying technologies. A global society, perhaps even a global moral consciousness, is emerging as a result. Small-town America rails at the excessive power of Wall Street. Asia is rising once again. And, yes, there's trouble in the Middle East.

Sound familiar?

Read more
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My Comment:
It is very hard for me to visualize in today' world a war between two and/or more major powers. Conflicts like Afghanistan or civil wars like Syria .... yes .... and if there is to be a big war, it will be between India and Pakistan. But a war between two major powers like the U.S. and China, the U.S. and Russia, Russia and China, China and Japan, NATO and Russia/China, etc. .... no. And on this matter .... fortunately .... we are not like 1913.

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