Thursday, October 10, 2013

Russia's Slow Decline

Red Square in Moscow, from the Saint Basil's Cathedral. Wikipedia

Misreading A Russia On The Run -- Ilan Berman, The Washington Times

Far from robust, the federation is facing implosion

Don’t let Russia’s recent attempts to play peacemaker on Syria fool you — U.S.-Russian relations are still on the rocks. A range of issues — from Russia’s stubborn support for the Iranian regime to the Kremlin’s very public snub of the White House in granting asylum to fugitive whistleblower Edward Snowden — have cast a profound pall over bilateral ties. In the process, they have sounded the death knell for the vaunted “reset” of relations with Russia that President Obama made a centerpiece of his foreign-policy agenda during his first term in office.

In response, experts have taken to calling for a “strategic pause” in relations between Washington and Moscow, so that the White House can reassess exactly what is possible to achieve through outreach toward Russia. That’s undoubtedly good thinking. However, Washington’s reappraisal also needs to take into account the larger, more long-term threat to international security that is now posed by Russia. This is because the Russian Federation is fast approaching a massive social and political upheaval, one that promises to be as transformative as the Soviet Union’s demise some two decades ago. Russia’s coming crisis is driven by the convergence of three trends:

Read more ....

My Comment: My nationality is Russian .... but I now live in Canada. It is true that the wholesale implosion of Russia’s human capital will have long term dire consequences for the Russian nation .... but .... for those who want to succeed in their lives Russia is definitely not the place to be right now .... hence this massive flight of human capital.

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