Pentagon Study Predicts That The Taliban Will Surge In Afghanistan If Afghan Forces Are Cut

Warrior Training Alliance instructor Terry Jones teaches Afghan border police while they conduct a tactical site exploitation course on Forward Operating Base Thunder in Afghanistan's Paktya province, Feb. 19, 2014. Jones is assigned to the Security Force Advise and Assist Team 9, Warrior Training Alliance.U.S. Army photo by Pfc. Dixie Rae Liwanag U.S. Army photo by Pfc. Dixie Rae Liwanag

Afghanistan Troop Cuts Will Likely Lead To Taliban Surge, Study Warns -- The Guardian

Insurgency ‘likely to swell’ following upcoming US and Nato military withdrawal, challenging Nato’s 2012 expectations

Stability in Afghanistan will require tens of thousands more troops costing billions more dollars than Nato envisioned at a fateful 2012 summit, according to a new Pentagon-sponsored review.

The review, released Thursday and conducted by the nonpartisan think tank CNA at the behest of the Pentagon’s policy directorate, found that the Taliban insurgency is likely to swell in the years following the upcoming US and Nato military withdrawal, sharply challenging expectations set at Nato’s May 2012 summit in Chicago. The review also saw widespread deficiencies in Nato’s planning for Afghanistan manpower, logistics, air support and ministerial strength.

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More News On A Pentagon Study That Predicts A Taliban Will Surge In Afghanistan If The Afghan Army Is Cut

U.S. report says planned cuts to Afghan forces threaten stability -- Reuters
Report: Planned Cuts to Troop Levels in Afghanistan Threaten Stability -- Voice of America
New Study Casts Doubt on West's Afghan Plan -- ABC News/AP

My Comment: It is too early to predict such an outcome. Karzai and his gang will no longer be in power, and the Taliban are starting to have their own problems.