Sunday, September 6, 2015

Syrian Military Official Admits That There Has Been A ‘Big Shift’ In Russian Military Support For Assad



Reuters: Syrian military official: There’s been a ‘big shift’ in Russian military support for Assad

While the desperate flight of Syrians from their country's war was dominating news bulletins this summer, yet another diplomatic push to end the four-year-old conflict was quietly running into the sand.

That largely unnoticed failure has reinforced the view amongst Syria experts that there is no solution in sight, with one of the biggest obstacles a seemingly unbridgeable international divide over President Bashar al-Assad's future.

As a consequence, Syria looks set for ever greater fragmentation into a patchwork of territories, one of them the diminishing Damascus-based state where Assad appears confident of survival with backing from his Russian and Iranian allies.

WNU Editor: From what I am reading in Russian social media, talking with my Russian friends and family in Russia .... there is zero public support for Russia to become involved in the Syrian conflict. As to why is Putin pursuing this course .... with no public support .... and no net benefit and no exit strategy .... I am still mystified. Something has happened that made Putin decide that this is the best course for Russia .... my prediction .... we will learn the reasons why in the next few weeks.

Update: Some are wondering if this increase in Russian military support is blow-back because of U.S. sanctions and Ukraine .... Analysts Link Syria to Latest US Sanctions on Russia (Defense News).

1 comment:

Matthew Putnam said...

As much as people don't like the idea of Russian supporting Syria in its civil war, there is a lot of face that Russia gains in the eyes of its smaller allies and even certain intermediate level states within international community. The US, however, is at the point where it is seen as a wavering, undependable and untrustworthy ally in this region. This move also acts as a good test for Russia when it comes to gauging the US reaction when it toys with the old school proxy status quo in the Middle East. Our weak responses to cardinal testing points is a good indication to other states that they can get away with certain things they would not have only a few years ago. The old status quo was where the US had a big share of the cake, and now that it does not want to push back too hard when players pick away at it, those with a bit of audacity and energy can pick away at all the US gains until it gets its shit together.