Tom Hussain, Al Jazeera: Afghanistan: Taliban won't talk because it is winning
The situation in Afghanistan provides no incentive for the Taliban to negotiate with the Afghan government.
With an air of inevitability, efforts by the Quadrilateral Coordination Group - comprising Afghanistan, China, Pakistan and the United States - to persuade the Taliban to engage in face-to-face peace negotiations have stalled.
Diplomats with the group, know as the QCG, have expressed the hope that the Taliban's refusal to talk is a leverage tactic, and that Pakistan would be able to bully and cajole the insurgent movement's leaders resident in Pakistan into changing their decision not to participate.
It certainly would be characteristic of Afghan politics if that were to happen. However, the existing situation in Afghanistan provides no incentive whatsoever for the Taliban to negotiate with the Kabul-based government.
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WNU Editor: The Taliban have come a long way since they were driven out 15 years ago .... so yes .... why negotiate ... what is the incentive for them to go to the table. My guess is that this war will need to grind on for a few more years before any meaningful peace talks can really begin.
5 comments:
Go to the table to accept surrender?
The West wont surrender and the US is waiting for the election of a new CiC before "surging" back into Afghanistan yet again.
Where they get the weapons? From Pakistan intel? From Iran? From Russia? Destroy the supply, do as the Russians did on Syria and they will come to the table ASAP
You have to be Sam Malone to win.
Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Ukraine, North Korea, Kuwait, Bahrain,
plus roughly 50% of the weapons and ammo that the US, the EU et al supplied over 38 years to the , Mujahadeen, and more recently the Afghan Army, Security Forces and Militia's,
Plus the massive stockpiles that were left behind by the Soviet withdrawl and the collapse of the Afghan People Army,
And then the arms supplied to the ANA and other anti-Talib Militias by Iran and Russia over the 10 years after the Talib engered the Afghan Civil War.
While Russia has destroyed ISIS's income stream by targetting it's oil smuggling, and Russia, the SAA, the SAAF, the YPG, the SPDF and Hezboallah have "surrounded" some ISIS and al Nusra enclaves and degraded the movement of reinforcements and supplies,
ISIS is not lacking for weapons and ammo:
http://spioenkop.blogspot.ca/2016/03/islamic-state-captures-ayyash-weapons.html?m=1
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