George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures: The Cycle of Terrorism
Identifying terrorists requires a shift in intelligence methods.
Summary The attacks in Belgium will set in motion an old cycle: massive alerts, terrorists going to ground, relaxing the alert, the re-emergence of the terrorist. Identifying terrorists consistently is almost impossible by existing means. The only strategy that might work is human intelligence – spies penetrating terrorist groups – but it is stunningly difficult. The choice is living with terrorism or adopting new strategies, as the old ones stop some attacks but not all.
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Commentaries, Analysis, And Editorials -- March 22, 2016
Belgium, My Country, Is in Denial -- Jean-Michel Paul, Bloomberg
Why did the bombers target Belgium? -- Jason Burke, The Guardian
Europe’s Breeding Ground for Terror -- Mike Gonzalez, Daily Signal
Brussels: A Vulnerability Exploited -- FMR SR Member of British Intelligence, The Cipher
Belgium bombings: Europeans show resilience to terrorism's 'new normal' -- Sara Miller Llana, Elizabeth Bryant, and Elisabeth Braw, CSM
Analysis: The next terror attack is already on the way -- Ron Ben-Yishai, i24 News
The Long War Against Islamic Extremism -- Telegraph editorial
Is Turkey ready to become Europe’s border guard? -- Semih Idiz, Al-Monitor
Why Putin Made a Hasty Retreat from Syria -- M. Trudolyubov, Newsweek
US-Russia thaw? Kerry arrives in Moscow for Syria talks -- Fred Weir, CSM
China’s Gambia gambit and what it means for Taiwan -- Richard C. Bush, Brookings
Catastrophic Victory: Museveni’s Re-Election and Uganda’s Future -- Peter Dörrie and Simone Schlindwein, WPR
Crimea Celebrates Its Second Anniversary As Part Of Russia: Time To Drop Sanctions Against Moscow -- Doug Bandow, Forbes
The Victory of Ukraine -- Anne Applebaum, New York Review Of Books
Obama's Other (More Important) Trip -- Mac Margolis, Bloomberg
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