Wednesday, May 18, 2016

Commentaries, Analysis, And Editorials -- May 18, 2016

An offshore oil rig at sunset. Pete Markham, CC BY-SA 2.0.. Flickr

Petr Aven, Vladimir Nazarov, and Samvel Lazaryan, National Interest: Twilight of the Petrostate

The age of oil rents is over. A political and geopolitical revolution is on its way.

About twenty countries around the world are dependent on a single number: the price of oil. Some, primarily Persian Gulf states, live entirely off their oil and gas wealth. They rely on crude oil, natural gas and petroleum products for 50 percent of their Gross Domestic Product and for 70-plus percent of their budget revenue. Some 15 countries generate more than 50 percent of their export earnings from oil, gas and petroleum product sales.

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Commentaries, Analysis, And Editorials -- May 18, 2016

Libya and the Lessons of Afghanistan -- Kamran Bokhari, Geopolitical Futures

Nuclear Terrorism And ISIS: How Scared Should We Be? -- Nathalie Guibert, World Crunch

How to prevent sectarian backlash from Baghdad bombings -- Sajad Jiyad and Michael Knights, Al Jazeera

Assad won’t budge in Syria; Obama lacks leverage: Former diplomat -- Guy Taylor, The Washington Times

China Finds Its Global Ambitions Humbled in Its Own Backyard -- Michael Forsythe and Austin ramzy, NYT

Go Ahead and Sell Arms to Vietnam -- Bloomberg editorial

Can the US Buy Peace in Afghanistan? -- Martin Matishak, Fiscal Times

As Afghan insecurity deepens, can Ghani government fight back? -- Scott Peterson, CSM

Ethiopia: is Africa's 'lion' ready to jump? -- Mantegaftot Sileshi, DW

U.S. Enlarges Its Military Footprint In Eastern Europe, To Mixed Reviews -- Soraya Sarhaddi Nelson, NPR

Ilma Rouseff and the chronic dysfunction of Brazil's politics -- Alex Cuadros, The New Yorker

The Real Lesson Behind Brazil's Mess -- Christopher Langner, Bloomberg

What has gone wrong in Venezuela? -- BBC

How to fix Venezuela -- Jeff Spross, The Week

Argentina: A Smoother Ride -- Kaitlin lavinder, The Cipher Brief

Could Facebook Rig the 2016 Election? -- The Atlantic

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