Based on the principle that transformative world events are not random, but are in fact predictable, Stratfor develops decade, annual and quarterly forecasts. These forecast are built upon Stratfor’s geopolitical methodology, our framework for identifying and forecasting the fundamental trends shaping the international system. Below are the global trends highlighted in Stratfor’s forecast for the third-quarter of 2017. The complete forecast is available at Stratfor Worldview.
The U.S. Exits Stage Left?
When world leaders gather in Germany for the approaching G-20 summit, they will no doubt make a slew of assertions — some alarmist, others justified — about a U.S. retreat from the global stage. Talk of leaders like German Chancellor Angela Merkel, French President Emmanuel Macron and Chinese President Xi Jinping stepping in to fill the void and uphold global governance on major issues such as free trade, climate change and security can be expected. But there is an underlying reality to that narrative that should be kept in mind.
Read more ....
Commentaries, Analysis, And Editorials -- June 27, 2017
Sitrep Raqqa: The Geopolitics of Eastern Syria -- Joseph V. Micallef, Military.com
The Islamic State's New Realities -- Giorgio Cafiero & Daniel Wagner, The Atlantic Council
As ISIS Falls, Border Battles Loom -- Fritz Lodge, Cipher Brief
Recep Tayyip Erdogan: How Much Can One Strongman Change a Country? -- Shami Hadid, The Atlantic
Gaza on the Brink -- Benedetta Berti, Foreign Affairs
Will China and America Roll Back North Korea's Nuclear Program? -- Stephan Haggard, National Interest
Sending North Korea a Message -- Seth Cropsey, RCD
Whither Japanese Democracy -- Daniel Hurst, Asia Times
Obama Choked on Russia Long Before the 2016 Election -- Eli Lake, Bloomberg
Don’t Believe the Hype About European Defense -- Luis Simon, War on the Rocks
On Migration, Europe Is Admitting the Truth to Itself -- Michael Brendan Dougherty, NRO
Venezuela Scrapes the Bottom of Oil Barrel Diplomacy -- Mac Margolis, Bloomberg
America and the Geopolitics of Upheaval -- Hal Brands & Eric Edelman, National Interest
Vulnerable 'Chokepoints' Threaten Global Food Security, Experts Warn -- Yasmeen Serhan, The Atlantic
Google Is Fighting a Losing Battle With the EU -- Leonid Bershidsky, Bloomberg
No comments:
Post a Comment