Monday, July 24, 2017

Commentaries, Analysis, And Editorials -- July 24, 2017



Laurel Miller, New York Times: A Peace ‘Surge’ to End War in Afghanistan

President Trump has no easy options in Afghanistan. An abrupt United States military exit would probably provoke the collapse of an Afghan state deeply dependent on American backing, while a major reinforcement — a reprise of the Obama administration’s initial approach — would be tough to support given that it didn’t work last time.

The modest increase of a few thousand troops widely reported to be under consideration promises to do little more than buy time by arresting the downward security slide.

President Barack Obama conducted a “surge” of American military resources in Afghanistan in a bid to turn the corner on the war. But Mr. Obama didn’t complete the subsequent scheduled military withdrawal because the closer the deadlines came, the less tolerable the danger of security collapse became. His administration only tepidly tried to negotiate a political settlement of the conflict.

President Trump could do the opposite: move boldly to negotiate peace, while making a limited additional military investment to deny the Taliban military victory.

Read more ....

Commentaries, Analysis, And Editorials -- July 24, 2017

As Syria Crumbles, Only Iran Is a Sure Winner -- Tobin Harshaw, Bloomberg

US seeks Syrian solution, but Assad doesn't have to go first -- Deb Reichmann & Bassem Mroue, The Associated Press

America's Future Is with India and Israel -- James Jay Carafano, National Interest

Ten Lessons from North Korea’s Nuclear Program -- Richard N. Haass, Project Syndicate

The China-India clash that could lead to nuclear war -- Peter Hartcher, Sydney Morning Herald

India is running out of time in Doklam dispute with China -- Zhou Bo, SCMP

AP Explains: India and China face off in border standoff -- Ashok Sharma and Christopher Bodeen, AP

Beware the Illusion of South China Sea Calm -- The Diplomat

Afghanistan's Young Liberal Elites Challenge the Taliban -- Susanne Koelbl, Spiegel Online

Why is Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe so unpopular? -- BBC

Venezuela: Latin America's Ticking Time Bomb -- Kenneth Rapoza, Forbes

China and the Venezuela Crisis -- The Diplomat

Venezuela’s getting a new constitution whether the people want it or not -- Laura Gamboa & Raul Sanchez Urribarri, The Conversation

New U.S. Sanctions on Russia Are a Mixed Bag -- Leonid Bershidsky, Bloomberg

Why the Germans Blew It at Dunkirk -- James Gibney, Bloomberg

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