Friday, February 23, 2018

Commentaries, Analysis, And Editorials -- February 23, 2018

Mara Karlin, Brookings: Israel’s coming war with Hezbollah

A new conflict may be inevitable

Another war between Israel and Hezbollah is almost inevitable. Although neither side wants a conflict now, the shifting balance of power in the Levant and shrinking areas of contestation are indicators of a looming showdown. The real questions are how and where—not if—the impending conflagration will occur.

The events of February 10 underscored the Levant’s instability. Israel shot down an Iranian drone that flew into its airspace and bombed the site in Syria from which the drone had allegedly been launched; during the latter mission, Syrian antiaircraft fire downed an Israeli F-16, the first Israeli fighter to be shot down by enemy fire in decades. Israel responded with massive retaliation against a slew of Iranian and regime-affiliated military targets in Syria.

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Commentaries, Analysis, And Editorials -- February 23, 2018

Iran Among the Ruins: Tehran’s Advantage in a Turbulent Middle East -- Vali Nasr, Foreign Affairs

Iraq needs to rebuild its financial and political system first -- Meir Javedanfar, CGTN

What If Kim Jong Un Decides to Bloody America’s Nose First? -- Michael P. Dempsey, War on the Rocks

The North Korea Crisis Is Back -- Harry J. Kazianis, National Interest

A Strategy Of Conquest, What Drives China's New Silk Road -- Michel De Grandi, World Crunch

Congo for the Congolese -- Helen Epstein, New York Review Of Books

Who will be Ethiopia's next prime minister? -- Jillian Kestler-D'Amours, Al Jazeera

Averting the U.S.-Russia Warpath -- James N. Miller, Richard Fontaine & Alexander Velez-Green, National Interest

Vladimir Putin’s Parallel State -- Maxim Trudolyubov, Kennan Institute

Can UN mission bring peace in Eastern Ukraine? (Video) -- DW

Yet another threat to the EU -- Mike Scrafton, The Strategist

Putin Sows Chaos Ahead of Mexican, Colombian Elections -- John A. Tures, Observer

A Venezuelan Refugee Crisis -- Shannon K. O'Neil, Council on Foreign Relations

The World After McMaster -- George Friedman, RCW/Geopolitical Futures

Even in world’s oldest democracies, citizens may be losing control -- John Lloyd, Reuters

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