Monday, April 30, 2018

Will China Be The Biggest Loser From a Successful Trump-Kim Summit

Kim Jong Un and Xi Jinping , Reuters

Harry J. Kazianis, American Conservative: The Biggest Loser From a Successful Trump-Kim Summit: China

A denuclearized North Korea could arrest Beijing's rise. Here's why.

Sometimes in the realm of life-and-death national security issues it’s fun to stargaze a little, to think about those “what if?” scenarios. And North Korea seems to provide just such an opportunity.

Imagine this: on June 20, 2018, President Donald J. Trump and North Korean dictator Kim Jong-un meet in Ulan Bator, the capitol of Mongolia, for what ends up as a historic summit—a Reykjavik-type event worthy of the comparison, and that indeed surpasses that Cold War summit by leaps and bounds. History is made on that day, as Pyongyang agrees to not only give up its nuclear weapons but long-range missiles as well.

Nothing is certain, of course. America and its allies still insist that 24/7, year-round inspections take place anywhere they want in North Korea—and that the Kim regime is to be given no warning on when and where these inspections happen. This leaves plenty of reason to be skeptical.

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WNU Editor: I disagree. China has a lot to benefit from a stable and prosperous Korean peninsula. Also .... it is in China's long term interest to make this happen, because it will eventually happen whether the Chinese want it or not.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Agreed - the last thing China needs is a nuclear wasteland next to their border, and a bunch of pumped up GIs in ABC suits running around planting a few strategic salted land mines^^ if Kim plays Trump he'll go "shock & wasteland" on him