WNU editor: When one considers the history behind the Iran nuclear deal. The enormous lengths and accommodations that President Obama went through to get this deal finalized .... even when Congress was adamant that they were not going to support it .... and then have it ripped up in the matter that it was done today .... it was quite a sight to see this afternoon. President Trump did not only attacked the fundamental ideals behind the deal, but he called out Iran as the world's greatest sponsor of terrorism. I have never heard Presidents Obama, Bush, or Clinton talk like this when it came to Iran. And throwing out President Obama's number one foreign policy achievement, and explaining why .... wow .... there are going to be political consequences from that.
The fallout is going to huge. In the U.S. .... President Obama and his former officials are beyond livid right now, as well as many in the Washington foreign policy establishment. France, Germany, and the U.K. are in a conundrum .... they support the Iran deal, but U.S. sanctions will now make doing business with Iran moot. Russia and China will continue to do business with Iran .... but it will not be that easy. Oil prices and how Iran exports its number one product will be facing added costs and difficulties. The political position of the Iranian President is now precarious, and the Iranian economy is going to be hit .... even though the Iranian economy is already in a mess .... Iran economy a mess even before Trump verdict (AFP). And in regards to the big question .... will Iran ramp up their nuclear program? I do not know the answer, but spending billions on a nuclear weapons program that will only guarantee international sanctions is not the road that Iran can afford right now .... both economically and politically. But the mullahs in Tehran have always marched to a different beat .... even if it means more suffering for its people.
6 comments:
I think a compelling case could have been made to keep this deal even though it clearly seems flawed. My "gut" tells me Iran was violating the deal anyway and would have continued to do so. At least this way the façade is ripped away. In some ways I think darned if you do darned if you don't on this thing. I just pray this was the right decision. I suppose we will know in the coming weeks, months, and years in the future.
I don’t think Israel is going to tolerate a restarting of the nuke program.... this could get ugly in very short order
Mr WNU, bearing in mind the relative youth of the Iranian population, do you think that this will force the Iranian public to act against the mullahs or entrench anti-American views, circa 1980?
Thus far, any and all attempts to unseat the ruling gang has been an utter failure. Only full optimism would think that such is the near future in Iran
Fred, I fear you might be correct. But, like all forms of control over the masses, you merely create a bigger time bomb.
Crusader
The young want change .... or at least the Persians who live in the major cities want something different. In the other parts of Iran where Persians are not the majority .... there is little love for the Mullahs in Tehran. The core support for the Revolutionary regime has always been the Persian countryside .... but I suspect that their patience is running out.
In a certain way this reminds me of the former Soviet Union. When the Communist Party lost their support from the countryside .... it just escalated. Same here .... the recent protests in the Iran were from the countryside .... and it was violent. Now to divert billions to restart the nuclear program while telling the population it is necessary .... that is going to be a hard sell.
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