Russian servicemen drive Yars RS-24 intercontinental ballistic missile systems during the Victory Day parade, marking the 73rd anniversary of the victory over Nazi Germany in World War Two, at Red Square in Moscow, Russia May 9, 2018. REUTERS/Sergei Karpukhin
Reuters: U.S. Army estimates Russian capability will peak in 2028, China's in 2030
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The U.S. Army estimates the Russian army’s military capabilities will peak in 2028, closely followed by the Chinese around 2030, giving the United States almost a decade to prepare for those threats, a senior Pentagon official said in an interview on Monday.
The top civilian at the U.S. Army, Secretary Mark Esper, said the Army will reduce, eliminate or delay nearly 200 weapons programs and refocus the funds on investing in capabilities to beat emergent Russian and Chinese militaries.
“What we’re looking at is 2028 and beyond, because we think it’s time the Russians will be peaking.” He added, “the Chinese after” in the 2030 time frame.
Russia and China have been modernizing their military forces for years while the United States has been engaged in fighting insurgencies in the Middle East.
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WNU Editor: It is hard to predict where Russia's and China's military capability will be five years from now .... let alone 10 years from now. But the Pentagon has a different point of view.
1 comment:
Well, I look at it this way:
Peak means that afterwards it goes downhill (or flat,but typically downhill)
Considering the US economy dwarfs China now, and I know first hand that many, many in my field are leaving China.. and we know that China overinflated their economy by up to 30%.. and we know their economy at best grows at 1.6% (and other Chinese professors are arguing its even contracting already, while the US still grows at 3.5% or more).. I think it's over for China's goal to reach global dominance by 2025, 2035 or even 2050. If they already now have such issues, just think about in 5-10 years from now.. they still have to go through the trillions of housing bubble they have created over there, which - same as in the US - wiped out a big chunk of the economy and took a decade to recover.. they haven't gone through that yet... AND, as I said, everyone in my field is leaving that country because of the difficulty to do fair business, the spying and extortions..
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