Tuesday, September 3, 2019

Commentaries, Analysis, And Editorials -- September 3, 2019

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Alice Tidey, Euronews: What are the odds? Bookmakers back Johnson in potential snap election

Boris Johnson could become Britain's shortest-serving Prime Minister if he calls and loses a snap election to end a power struggle with parliament over a potential no-deal Brexit — but the odds are in his favour.

According to Oddschecker, Johnson's Conservative party has a 1/3 predicted chance of winning the most seats in parliament if snap elections were called, which is an equivalent percentage chance of 75%.

The main opposition Labour Party, however, have odds of 4/1, equating to a 20% implied probability chance.

Read more ....

Commentaries, Analysis, And Editorials -- September 3, 2019

Could the Brexit brawl see Boris Johnson become Britain's shortest-serving prime minister? -- Dan Conifer, ABC News Online

Merkel’s in Beijing, Pence is in Poland -- Spengler (David P. Goldman), Asia Times

Why America Doesn't Want to Admit That it Failed in Afghanistan -- Daniel R. DePetris, National Interest

The Afghan 'peace' deal will not bring peace to the Afghan people -- Sahar Halaimzai & Horia Mosadiqi, Al Jazeera

Afghanistan peace talks: Lasting peace is impossible without women at the negotiating table -- Melanne Verveer, USA Today

France explores a credit line for Iran, but needs Trump's buy-in -- Rym Momtaz and Nahal Toosi, Politico

Israel-Hezbollah clashes ‘play positively’ for Netanyahu’s re-election campaign -- Marc Daou, France 24

Germany's Syria conundrum -- Seda Serdar, DW

How far will China go to stamp out Hong Kong protests? -- Tania Branigan, The Guardian

Would a U.S. Security Guarantee Achieve Guaranteed North Korean Denuclearization? -- Bruce Klingner, National Interest

China broke its promises to Hong Kong. That’s why the protest movement is back with a vengeance -- Markus Shaw, SCMP

China has locked up my friends in response to our protests in Hong Kong, and has put the city's status at risk -- Nahan Law Kwun-chung, The Independent

How Russia and China are preparing to exploit a warming planet -- Luiza Ch. Savage, Politico

Why Corporations Are the Kremlin’s Best Friends -- Pavel Luzin, Moscow Times

Xenophobia in South Africa strains international relations -- Cristina Krippahl, DW

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