Wednesday, February 24, 2021

A Hypothetical Sino-American War Scenario Of 2025

The Sino-American Littoral War, September 9-28, 2025 

Michael R. Auslin, Spectator: The Sino-American War of 2025 

A future history 

The reasons why the United States and the People’s Republic of China (PRC) avoided total war, let alone a nuclear exchange, during their armed conflict in the autumn of 2025 remain a source of dispute. What is clearer is why the Sino-American Littoral War broke out, and what course it took. The United States lost part of its position in Asia, while China found its gains an unexpected burden. The resulting cold war between the United States and China became the defining feature of geopolitics in the Asia-Pacific in the middle of the 21st century. To understand what happened and why, we must start with the political environment between Washington and Beijing in the years leading up to the war, look at their military assets and assess the balance of power in the western Pacific at the outset of hostilities. Only then will analysts be able to interpret the political and military decisions taken by both sides. 


WNU Editor: A doubt that a hypothetical U.S.-Sino war would be limited to three weeks. Especially if a US aircraft carrier has been seriously damaged or sunk with great loss of life. If a US carrier is sunk I can easily see this conflict escalate into full engagements within a few days that would encompass much of eastern Asia.

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

It was BS after invoking "President Harris." Harris is much less popular the Hillary Clinton who got slammed despite her popularity. Harris at best garnered less than 2% of the vote. Even using her VP status, the Trump folks would crush her and many Dems who aren't far left loons will be turned off. The economy will suck and not help.
If they are smart enough not to have Trump run and find someone who deossn't generate allot of hate, she will be the 2024 Hillary.
Asfor this scenario it's someone plausible but I don't see the carriers being sideleined. Rememeber the French, Brits, Japs, and Italians have carriers. Plus I don't see India sitting outan opportunity to move on China in the Kashmir and other locales.

Blackdog said...

There are way to many anti-Democrat assumptions in this article to be taken seriously.

Dave Goldstein said...

It would ugly. Mostly submarine warfare, if it was more than that then it's bend over and kiss everyones ass goodbye.

Blackdog said...

I think the Chinese would try and take advantage of their short supply lines and air coverage. I also think Mr. Goldstein has a point about subs. Figure that is going to the US as a big advantage.

Anonymous said...

List the anti-Democrat assumptions

Historical fact may be embarrassing, but it is not an assumption.

When we get to paragraph 15 we get to "assumptions". What is unfair about assumptions about shameless TPM politician, who slept with someone (Willie Brown) to get onto the 1st rung of the ladder?

Harris is so bad, she makes Hillary look human by comparison.