Alex Ward, VOX: How China could force Biden’s hand on defending Taiwan
If a war breaks out over Taiwan, Biden may be forced into a decision no American president since 1979 has wanted to make.
No American president has had to choose whether to go to war to defend Taiwan against a Chinese military invasion. President Joe Biden might have the decision thrust upon him.
The outgoing commander of US forces in the Indo-Pacific region, Navy Adm. Philip Davidson, told US lawmakers in March that he believes Beijing will attempt a takeover of the neighboring democratic island — which it considers part of mainland China — within the next six years. Davidson’s successor, Navy Adm. John Aquilino, expressed a similar concern days later.
“This problem is much closer to us than most think,” he told members of the Senate Armed Services Committee. “We ought to be prepared today.”
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WNU Editor: The impression that I have from my sources in China is that Beijing is confident that President Biden will not involve the U.S. in a war between China and Taiwan.
I think this is a mistake.
Beijing's subjugation of Hong Kong was easy because the people are not armed. Taiwan is a different story. They armed to the teeth and they will resist a Chinese invasion.
And as for the U.S. response.
My prediction is that Washington cannot stay neutral and/or uninvolved.
I predict America's allies in Asia will be the first to get involved in this war by aiding Taiwan. In return, China will respond by targeting these nations. Probably with military strikes.
This is where U.S. policy no longer becomes unambiguous. Chinese military strikes on U.S. allies like Japan, the Philippines. Australia, etc., will kick in treaty and security obligations that will oblige the U.S. to intervene. Failure to do will then destroy all U.S. treaty commitments and promises to all of its allies around the world.
10 comments:
Xi has to do something.
From a wiseman.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q_gr3dtBaic&ab_channel=SPHRazor
Those "treaty commitments and promises" needed to be renegotiated long, long ago. I suppose if they are "destroyed" that is one way of renegotiating them.
Also Putin will start a second regional war by moving into the Baltics and probably the rest of Ukraine and definitely Bellorussia. His plans to rebuild the Soviet empire will return.
A two front move by China to take Taiwan and Russia to reconnect Kaliningrad to Mother Russia would leave the US helpless to respond. Believe Biden would never employ nuclear weapons. Short of that he’s unable to face off against both powers. That strategy and its required capabilities are long gone.
He’d bend to China to save what’s left of the US a economy and would sanction Russia which wouldn’t really hurt them. More a minor bother to Russia. Not saying it wouldn’t be painful to the Russian population but their government’s tolerance and the population’s ability to accept suffering is on a different scale than the West understands. All Putin has to do is frame it as a nationalist issue and he’s good to go.
As far as China goes the Asian nations will get some help. BMD defense maybe, perhaps some work from the submarine force but that’s about it. No way the US is going full tilt against China as long as the PLAN leaves Guam alone and doesn’t attack PACFLEET carriers.
Biden will start a war sooner then I think
I see it coming fast
Coward talk b grow a spine
Poster still going FULL FRONTAL TROLL. Someone give her a fig leaf.
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