Will Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau Be Re-Elected This Monday When Canadians Go To The Polls?

 

Washington Post: Trudeau rolled the dice on a snap election. Canadian voters will decide whether his gamble pays off.  

MISSISSAUGA, Ontario — When Prime Minister Justin Trudeau gambled last month on a snap federal election — more than two years before a vote was required under Canadian law — he believed the dice were loaded in his favor. 

The Liberal Party leader was flying high on relatively positive reviews of his government’s handling of the pandemic. After initial blips, Canada was a world leader in vaccinations. 

And he was well ahead in the polls of his main rival, a rookie leader who was doubted by members of his own party, and virtually unknown to many Canadians.  

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WNU Editor: Before the election call my prediction was for another Liberal minority government. My reasons were because of the weakness of the Conservative opposition leader, and a fracture on the right. 

Two weeks ago I was surprised that the polls were showing a Trudeau defeat. I was also sensing a shift in the mood among people I trust who wanted change. Hence the change in my prediction for a Conservative minority government. 

Today I am not too sure. 

For reasons that I do not understand, the main opposition Conservative party decided to shift even further from its conservative base, and what momentum they may have had two weeks ago has (not surprising) evaporated. I still find it jarring when the leader of the Conservative Party said last week that the Conservative Party was no longer your grandfather's Conservative party. Talk about dissing your base who are proud of the past. 

The polls are now predicting a Liberal minority government after election day, albeit with fewer seats. I concur with this analysis.