Turkey Warns Egypt That They Will Deploy More Forces To Libya If Egypt's Military Enter Libya

El-Sisi had stressed that the frontline of Sirte and Al-Jufra was “a red line” for Egyptian national security in response to the advancement of the GNA supported by Turkey to those areas.https://t.co/uBOXNosESs

— Al Bawaba News (@AlBawabaEnglish) July 21, 2020

Al Jazeera: 'Dangerous adventure': Turkey warns Egypt over Libya invasion

At Istanbul meeting, Russia and Turkey agree to push for a ceasefire but Ankara says eastern commander must retreat.

Turkey and Russia agreed on Wednesday to press for a ceasefire in war-ravaged Libya, but Ankara said the leader of the eastern forces was illegitimate and must withdraw from key positions for a credible truce to take hold.

Moscow and Ankara are among the main power brokers in Libya's conflict while supporting opposing sides. Russia backs the eastern-based forces of renegade military commander Khalifa Haftar, while Turkey has helped the Tripoli-based Government of National Accord (GNA) repel Haftar's attempt to storm the capital.

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WNU Editor: I also expect this to happen .... Egypt's Military Is Likely Headed Into Libya (And Turkey Is to Blame) (National Interest).

More News On The 'War Of Words' Between Turkey And Egypt

Turkey Warns Egypt Over Libya, Lashes Out at Macron’s Role -- Bloomberg
Turkey says Egyptian intervention in Libya would be ‘dangerous adventure’ -- Ahval
Turkey plans to increase its forces in Libya if Egypt enters: Zaman -- AMN
Libya: Egypt's decision to send its army is ‘a declaration of war’ -- Middle East Monitor
How will Turkey respond to Egypt’s intervention in Libya? -- Middle East Monitor
Libyan conflict at risk of spiraling out of control -- Arab News

Will Egypt And Turkey Go To War Over Libya?

Libya’s Government of National Accord (GNA) forces in Tripoli, Libya on 27 March 2020 [Amru Salahuddien/Anadolu Agency]

OilPrice.com: Libya Is On The Brink Of A Major Military Conflict

The broader geopolitical situation in which Libya finds itself is another reason for analysts to temper optimism. UN chief Guterres stated that foreign interference in Libya has reached ‘unprecedented levels,’ without directly stating the main culprits. It is looking increasingly likely that we will see a military operation by GNA forces, backed by Turkey, on the Sirte region. Any military action in the Sirte region would be a direct danger to NOC’s future plans, as oil production and exports in the region would likely be halted. The GNA and Turkish officials have openly stated that they are preparing a move against Sirte, currently in the hands of LNA forces, to regain control of the area’s strategic oil reserves. Indirectly Turkey has stated that it wants to regain power over the Sirte area in order to deliver a major blow to Haftar’s LNA and its backers, Russia, UAE, and Egypt. The UN is currently trying in vain to set up a possible political solution for the crisis, but the developments on the ground suggest that there is no political will for such a deal at the moment.

As things stand, two major external forces are on track to clash in a military conflict within Libya. Turkish forces have recently put their full backing behind the GNA, while Egypt has promised the protect Haftar’s forces. Egyptian President Sisi has stated that any violation of Sirte and Al-Jufra will result in direct intervention from the Egyptian military as per international norms.

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WNU Editor: Some believe there will be no war .... The unlikely war between Egypt and Turkey in Libya (Middle East Monitor). But if Egypt does ener into the Libyan war, these are its military options .... Egypt’s Military Limitations: Cairo’s Options to Defend Eastern Libya (Foreign Policy Research Institute).

A Turkish - Egyptian Alliance?

Turkey Predicts Alliance With Egypt as Regional Anchors -- New York Times

ANKARA, Turkey — A newly assertive Turkey offered on Sunday a vision of a starkly realigned Middle East, where the country’s former allies in Syria and Israel fall into deeper isolation, and a burgeoning alliance with Egypt underpins a new order in a region roiled by revolt and revolution.

The portrait was described by Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu of Turkey in an hourlong interview before he was to leave for the United Nations, where a contentious debate was expected this week over a Palestinian bid for recognition as a state. Viewed by many as the architect of a foreign policy that has made Turkey one of the most relevant players in the Muslim world, Mr. Davutoglu pointed to that issue and others to describe a region in the midst of a transformation. Turkey, he said, was “right at the center of everything.”

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My Comment: While such an alliance will have economic benefits .... the focus from international observers is on how will this impact Israel and its conflict with its Arab neighbors.
The Turks regard such an alliance as a means for them to play a greater role in the region, but the fear in Israel is that such an alliance will undermine and eventually disregard past peace treaties between Israel and some of its Arab neighbors. What is my take .... Turkey has a long and tumultuous history with the Arabs .... and while they may share the same religion .... culturally and politically I expect many of these old-age animosities will return.