Wednesday, September 19, 2018

Commentaries And Analysis On This Week's Inter-Korean Summit



Richard Sokolsky, RCW/38 North: North and South Korea Take Important Steps to Demilitarize the Korean Peninsula

At yesterday’s summit meeting in Pyongyang between North Korean leader Kim Jong Un and South Korean President Moon Jae-in, the defense ministers of the two countries signed an important agreement to reduce military tensions along the two sides’ heavily militarized border. As of November 1, no-fly zones will be established along the border and both sides will halt artillery and other military drills close to the demilitarized zone (DMZ) separating the two countries. The North and South also agreed to dismantle several of the heavily armed guard posts they have each constructed inside the DMZ and to create a maritime peace zone in the West Sea (Yellow Sea).

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Commentaries And Analysis On This Week's Korean Summit

North Korea summit: Diplomacy is back on track -- BBC
Kim-Moon summit: Is North Korea just buying time with empty concessions? -- Julian Ryall, DW
North Korea still taking baby steps with Kim's missile site offer -- Benjamin Haas, The Guardian
'Ashamed': South Koreans chilled by Kim Jong-un's cuddles -- Benjamin Haas, The Guardian
The US war that never officially ended -- BBC
South Korea May Have Just Helped Break a Nuclear Impasse -- Uri Friedman, The Atlantic
Moon Jae-in is gambling with North Korea – and it could upset the US -- Michael H Fuchs, The Guardian

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Trump did this!

Not Obama

B.Poster said...

Anon (6:03PM),

At this point, we cannot "know" precisely who did what without access to inside information in real time. Also, while we do seem to be moving in the right direction right now, there is still much that can go wrong. As such, it is premature to say that Trump or anyone else has accomplished anything yet.

Now is Obama responsible for the positive position we find ourselves in today? The available evidence would suggest no. When he left office, we were on the brink of war. As Trump pointed out, had we continued Obama's polices we would have had no choice but to go to war. In such a situation, millions would have died as he pointed out. Obama's policies were not continued so we cannot "know" what would have happened. Given the general tensions in place before Trump's policy changes began to bear fruit, the assessment by Trump that a continuation of Obama's policies would have led to war seems a sound premise. Given the lack of readiness of the US military a the time and the poor nature of our homeland defenses, the casualty numbers suggested by Trump also seem sound to. Keep in mind much of this problem STILL needs to be addressed. In my opinion, a safe conclusion is we DO NOT WANT TO GO BACK TO THE POLICIES OF OBAMA WITH REGARDS TO NORTH KOREA!!

Is there a better way than the Trump approach. Perhaps there is. Until someone presents it, his approach and that of his team is the best way to go.

Is Trump responsible for the positive position we find ourselves in today? While there are many who likely deserve credit, for example the editor assigns allot of credit to Kim's sister, being the only new variable to this equation and the fact that this situation began to turn upon his arrival the hypothesis that he is the main force behind these positive developments seems very sound.

In fact, to reach any other conclusion would require extraordinary evidence. For example, we see hoof prints in North America. We first look for horses. Once horses are eliminated as the maker of these hoof prints we then might look for zebras. Essentially Trump is the "horse." To suggest someone else would be the "zebra." The "zebra" is certainly possible but extraordinary evidence would be needed to support such a conclusion. To suggest Obama would be all but impossible as he was out of office and his policies were being changed.

The long in short of it is more than likely Trump "did this." Obama did not do this as he was not in office an his approach was being changed. Perhaps someone else "did this" but the available evidence does not support such a conclusion.

With that said there is still much that can go wrong. "This" can still go wrong." If it does go wrong and we end up back in a situation similar to how it was before Obama came to office, while that would not be good, that would still be a vast improvement over where we were about a year ago.

Anonymous said...

You are so obvious
just what got done? a hug and???

Anonymous said...

Postman or whatevewr...what the hell are you talking about? we were not on the brink of anything. We were imposing sanctions...N.K was testing long range rockets that could carry nukes...China and Russia were sending them aid. They still are. We still have N.K. making nukes...we all hope that this might change. But note that the North is talking to the South and we seem edged out at the moment. I hope for the best and will applaud any party or president who can bring this about, but dumping on Obama to bolster the confused president is simply doing what you seem paid to do